Bristol City vs Watford: match statistics
Bristol City shows a significant advantage as the host with a 41% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.59 goals per home match, while Watford scores just 1.06 goals away with a very poor win rate of only 19%. Watford adopts a defensive approach on the road with 44% draws, however, their form in the last five matches (1 PPG) is inferior to Bristol City (1.4 PPG). xG values are balanced for the hosts (1.44 for and against), suggesting stability, whereas Watford has a negative goal difference of -4 away. Considering the hosts' advantage, their better form, and Watford's weakness on the road, a victory for Bristol City is most likely, though a draw is also in play due to the guests' tendency to split points.
Bristol City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bristol City played against Watford in Championship (England). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Bristol City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Watford has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bristol City scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.24. Watford scores 1.26 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Bristol City's games and 59% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 44%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.41 per game. Bristol City takes 12.8 shots per game, while Watford takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Bristol City leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bristol City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bristol City shows a significant advantage as the host with a 41% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.59 goals per home match, while Watford scores just 1.06 goals away with a very poor win rate of only 19%. Watford adopts a defensive approach on the road with 44% draws, however, their form in the last five matches (1 PPG) is inferior to Bristol City (1.4 PPG). xG values are balanced for the hosts (1.44 for and against), suggesting stability, whereas Watford has a negative goal difference of -4 away. Considering the hosts' advantage, their better form, and Watford's weakness on the road, a victory for Bristol City is most likely, though a draw is also in play due to the guests' tendency to split points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bristol City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Bristol City · 1 pts / game - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Bristol City · 1.26 goals / game - Watford
Watford is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Bristol City · 1.18 goals / game - Watford
Bristol City scores in 68% of games (23 of 34 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 meczów).
Watford scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 meczów), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol City
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Bristol City · 1.09 pts / game - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bristol City
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Bristol City | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.62 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bristol City's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Watford. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol City vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Bristol City 1:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Watford?
Bristol City score 1.38 goals per game on average and Watford 1.26. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Bristol City's matches and 59% of Watford's.
What form are Bristol City and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Watford?
The statistical background for Bristol City vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.