England - EFL League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics

Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers play Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.24 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 46%, Fleetwood Town 67%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 52%, Fleetwood Town 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Fleetwood Town has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.32. Bristol Rovers: 11.6 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 12.3.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (12 goals). Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Bristol Rovers holds a clear form advantage — winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.4 points in that period, scoring 7 and conceding only 2, while Fleetwood Town over their last 5 have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with an average of 1.2 points and a 4:4 goal record. The hosts control play at home (52% possession) and generate 1.34 xG per home match; the visitors on the road average 47% possession and 1.40 xG, indicating similar quality of created chances but greater initiative from Bristol. Statistically Bristol scores 1.15 goals at home and concedes 1.35, whereas Fleetwood away score 0.95 and concede 1.00; season-to-date Fleetwood have more goals overall (49 vs 42), showing they can be dangerous. Fleetwood register more shots on target away (4.1 vs 3.0) and have a lower share of goalless games (25% vs 40%), but the gap in recent results and the hosts’ superior form tilt probabilities toward Bristol, hence the forecast of a home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
11Shots14
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
2Shots on target2
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.06xG1.28
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
5Corners4
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
30Dangerous attacks34
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
14Fouls15
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
4Cards4
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.22Goals scored / match1.24
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.41Goals conceded / match1.26
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
50%Average possession50%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
3.3Shots on target / match4.17
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.59Shots per match12.35
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
3.3Shots on target4.17
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
10.5%Shot conversion10%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
50%Possession50%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.32xG for1.41
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.33xG against1.44
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedFleetwood Town: Balanced
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
Accuracy (shots on target)28%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.2 pts / match - Fleetwood Town

Bristol Rovers
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W11% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-22
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-1-10
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fleetwood Town
LWDDD
Season result split
33% W35% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-16-15
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-7-9
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fleetwood Town is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.26 goals / match - Fleetwood Town

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).

Fleetwood Town scoring profile: very strong

Fleetwood Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

56Goals scored (season)57
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
65Goals conceded (season)58
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
2.63Average goals in match2.5
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
13Goals scored (last 5)8
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal80%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
37%2 goals33%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
15%3 goals9%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
2%4 goals2%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal80%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
35%2 goals35%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
22%3 goals4%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
9%4 goals4%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time17%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
2%BTTS in both halves4%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
17%Scored in both halves17%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time2%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
28% leading35% draw37% trailing
Fleetwood Town - half-time state
26% leading43% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.22
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.04
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
52%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
63%No goal before half-time57%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.2
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.46
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
48%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town
52%No goal after half-time46%
Bristol RoversFleetwood Town

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

37% W20% R43% P
55
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fleetwood Town - second-half results

24% W48% R28% P
56
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fleetwood Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
9
9
16-30
8
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
12
10
61-75
11
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Fleetwood Town
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
10
12
31-45
8
7
46-60
12
14
61-75
14
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Fleetwood Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaFleetwood Town
Average goals in match 2.632.57 2.50
Both teams scored 46%52% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%48% 46%
Clean sheets 24%27% 20%
Goal before half-time 74%67% 72%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Fleetwood Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Fleetwood Town FC
2 : 1
Bristol Rovers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 1:0 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

Bristol Rovers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.24. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 67% of Fleetwood Town's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?

The statistical background for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.