Bristol Rovers vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 46%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 52%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Notts County has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.32. Bristol Rovers: 11.6 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (12 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
Bristol RoversNotts County
20Shots4
Bristol RoversNotts County
5Shots on target1
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.35xG0.49
Bristol RoversNotts County
8Corners2
Bristol RoversNotts County
103Dangerous attacks22
Bristol RoversNotts County
8Fouls8
Bristol RoversNotts County
2Cards7
Bristol RoversNotts County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversNotts County
1.22Goals scored / match1.59
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.41Goals conceded / match1.06
Bristol RoversNotts County
50%Average possession55%
Bristol RoversNotts County
3.3Shots on target / match4.37
Bristol RoversNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.59Shots per match11.04
Bristol RoversNotts County
3.3Shots on target4.37
Bristol RoversNotts County
10.5%Shot conversion14.4%
Bristol RoversNotts County
50%Possession55%
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.32xG for1.34
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.33xG against1.2
Bristol RoversNotts County

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedNotts County: Efficient finishing
Bristol RoversNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)28%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 2.2 pts / match - Notts County

Bristol Rovers
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W11% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-22
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-1-10
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Notts County
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
53% W18% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-9-14
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-4-8
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Notts County is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County

Notts County is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.06 goals / match - Notts County

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

56Goals scored (season)78
Bristol RoversNotts County
65Goals conceded (season)52
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.63Average goals in match2.65
Bristol RoversNotts County
13Goals scored (last 5)6
Bristol RoversNotts County
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
Bristol RoversNotts County

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal82%
Bristol RoversNotts County
37%2 goals45%
Bristol RoversNotts County
15%3 goals18%
Bristol RoversNotts County
2%4 goals10%
Bristol RoversNotts County

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal67%
Bristol RoversNotts County
35%2 goals29%
Bristol RoversNotts County
22%3 goals8%
Bristol RoversNotts County
9%4 goals2%
Bristol RoversNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
Bristol RoversNotts County
2%BTTS in both halves2%
Bristol RoversNotts County
17%Scored in both halves29%
Bristol RoversNotts County

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Bristol RoversNotts County
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Bristol RoversNotts County
80%BTTS - last 520%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Bristol RoversNotts County
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Bristol RoversNotts County
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Bristol RoversNotts County

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Bristol RoversNotts County
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Bristol RoversNotts County
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Notts County is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.49 pts / match - Notts County

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
28% leading35% draw37% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
33% leading51% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.49
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.2
Bristol RoversNotts County
52%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Bristol RoversNotts County
63%No goal before half-time49%
Bristol RoversNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.53
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Bristol RoversNotts County
48%Clean sheet after half-time51%
Bristol RoversNotts County
52%No goal after half-time41%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

37% W20% R43% P
55
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

43% W24% R33% P
73
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
75
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.49
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
9
9
16-30
8
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
12
10
61-75
11
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
10
7
0-15
13
6
16-30
12
11
31-45
12
9
46-60
13
9
61-75
18
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaNotts County
Average goals in match 2.632.57 2.65
Both teams scored 46%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%48% 55%
Clean sheets 24%27% 33%
Goal before half-time 74%67% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 - 0 Notts County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 0:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

Bristol Rovers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 53% of Notts County's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.