Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Bugesera vs Al Hilal Omdurman: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bugesera vs Al Hilal Omdurman: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play Al Hilal Omdurman in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 30 January 2026 at 01:00.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Al Hilal Omdurman: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Al Hilal Omdurman scores 2.17 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Al Hilal Omdurman 49%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Al Hilal Omdurman 54%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Al Hilal Omdurman has higher xG: 1.33 vs 0.91. Bugesera: 5.2 shots per match, Al Hilal Omdurman: 7.6.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.59. Al Hilal Omdurman: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.26.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Al Hilal Omdurman: 61-75 (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1Goals scored / match2.17
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1.15Goals conceded / match0.71
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
43%Average possession54%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1.85Shots on target / match3.43
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match7.57
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1.85Shots on target3.43
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
19.3%Shot conversion28.7%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
43%Possession54%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0.91xG for1.33
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1.28xG against0.82
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingAl Hilal Omdurman: Efficient finishing
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
Accuracy (shots on target)36%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.63

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Hilal Omdurman is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.6 pts / match - Al Hilal Omdurman

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Hilal Omdurman
WWDDL
Season result split
69% W17% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-6-5
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +51
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-4-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Hilal Omdurman is 117% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 2.17 goals / match - Al Hilal Omdurman

Al Hilal Omdurman is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.71 goals / match - Al Hilal Omdurman

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Al Hilal Omdurman keeps a clean sheet in 51% (18 of 35 matches).

Al Hilal Omdurman scoring profile: very strong

Al Hilal Omdurman scores in 97% of matches (34 of 35 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)76
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
39Goals conceded (season)25
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
2.15Average goals in match2.89
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
5Goals scored (last 5)7
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal97%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
29%2 goals66%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
6%3 goals26%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0%4 goals14%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal49%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
38%2 goals20%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
12%3 goals3%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
3%4 goals0%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
Al Hilal Omdurman - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 35 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0%BTTS in both halves3%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
18%Scored in both halves46%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
40%BTTS - last 580%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Hilal Omdurman is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.94 pts / match - Al Hilal Omdurman

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Al Hilal Omdurman - half-time state
54% leading31% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.94
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.91
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1Average goals (1st half)1.17
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
53%Clean sheet before half-time77%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
71%No goal before half-time37%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)2.06
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)1.26
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.71
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
65%Clean sheet after half-time60%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman
50%No goal after half-time20%
BugeseraAl Hilal Omdurman

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Hilal Omdurman - second-half results

60% W26% R14% P
68
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
72
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Al Hilal Omdurman - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Al Hilal Omdurman
ScoredConceded
10
0
0-15
11
4
16-30
11
5
31-45
8
2
46-60
18
7
61-75
18
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (18 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Al Hilal Omdurman

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
217%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAl Hilal Omdurman
Average goals in match 2.152.12 2.89
Both teams scored 41%46% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 54%
Clean sheets 38%34% 51%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 77%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 Al Hilal Omdurman. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Bugesera and Al Hilal Omdurman play?

Bugesera face Al Hilal Omdurman on 30 January 2026 in National Soccer League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Al Hilal Omdurman 2.17. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bugesera's matches and 49% of Al Hilal Omdurman's.

What form are Bugesera and Al Hilal Omdurman in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Hilal Omdurman 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.