Bugesera vs AS Kigali: match statistics
Bugesera displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, averaging 2 points per match in this period, which indicates good form. AS Kigali has poor away form - only a 33% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference (-3), and just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches. The visitors have lost half of their away fixtures this season, which, combined with Bugesera's solid defense (38% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts an edge. Bugesera's higher shot conversion rate (22% vs 14%) and better overall form point towards a home win, although AS Kigali's experience in drawing games (9 draws this season) suggests the match could be closely contested.
Bugesera vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bugesera played against AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Bugesera has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. AS Kigali has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. AS Kigali scores 0.72 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Bugesera's games and 36% of AS Kigali's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 28%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AS Kigali has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 0.93 per game. Bugesera takes 5.4 shots per game, while AS Kigali takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Bugesera leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. AS Kigali leads at halftime in 4% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For AS Kigali, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bugesera displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, averaging 2 points per match in this period, which indicates good form. AS Kigali has poor away form - only a 33% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference (-3), and just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches. The visitors have lost half of their away fixtures this season, which, combined with Bugesera's solid defense (38% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts an edge. Bugesera's higher shot conversion rate (22% vs 14%) and better overall form point towards a home win, although AS Kigali's experience in drawing games (9 draws this season) suggests the match could be closely contested.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bugesera is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Bugesera · 1 pts / game - AS Kigali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bugesera is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Bugesera · 0.72 goals / game - AS Kigali
Bugesera is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Bugesera · 1.12 goals / game - AS Kigali
Bugesera scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
AS Kigali scores in 56% of games (14 of 25 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bugesera
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 35% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Bugesera's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AS Kigali. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:0 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.72. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Bugesera's matches and 36% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Bugesera and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and AS Kigali 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
The statistical background for Bugesera vs AS Kigali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.