Bugesera vs Musanze: match statistics
Bugesera displays solid form at home with a 50% win rate in home matches and an impressive 40% clean sheet record. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and averaging 2 points per match during this period. Musanze struggles in away fixtures, losing as many as 44% of their matches and failing to score in 44% of cases, which represents a significant weakness. Although the visitors have a better seasonal goal difference (28 goals), their away form (33% wins) and lower xG stats (0.97) compared to xG Against (1.62) suggest difficulties away from home. Considering the hosts' home advantage and Musanze's weaker away performances, Bugesera has a realistic chance of securing three points, although the balanced nature of both teams does not rule out a draw.
Bugesera vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bugesera played against Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Bugesera has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Musanze has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.05. Musanze scores 1.40 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Bugesera's games and 45% of Musanze's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 40%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Musanze has the higher season xG average, 1.06 to 0.95 per game. Bugesera takes 5.5 shots per game, while Musanze takes 6.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Bugesera leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Musanze leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Musanze, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bugesera displays solid form at home with a 50% win rate in home matches and an impressive 40% clean sheet record. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and averaging 2 points per match during this period. Musanze struggles in away fixtures, losing as many as 44% of their matches and failing to score in 44% of cases, which represents a significant weakness. Although the visitors have a better seasonal goal difference (28 goals), their away form (33% wins) and lower xG stats (0.97) compared to xG Against (1.62) suggest difficulties away from home. Considering the hosts' home advantage and Musanze's weaker away performances, Bugesera has a realistic chance of securing three points, although the balanced nature of both teams does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bugesera is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / game - Musanze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Bugesera · 1.4 goals / game - Musanze
Bugesera scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Musanze scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - Musanze
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / game - Musanze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bugesera
Musanze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.05 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 44% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Bugesera's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Musanze. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs Musanze?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 1:2 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Musanze?
Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.40. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bugesera's matches and 45% of Musanze's.
What form are Bugesera and Musanze in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Musanze 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Musanze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bugesera vs Musanze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.