Bugesera vs Rayon Sports: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play Rayon Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 14 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rayon Sports: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Rayon Sports scores 1.09 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Rayon Sports 47%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Rayon Sports 26%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Rayon Sports has higher xG: 1.35 vs 0.91. Bugesera: 5.2 shots per match, Rayon Sports: 7.6.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.59. Rayon Sports: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Rayon Sports: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
BugeseraRayon Sports
4Shots13
BugeseraRayon Sports
3Shots on target5
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.02xG2.09
BugeseraRayon Sports
2Corners2
BugeseraRayon Sports
74Dangerous attacks125
BugeseraRayon Sports
21Fouls15
BugeseraRayon Sports
0Cards0
BugeseraRayon Sports

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BugeseraRayon Sports
1Goals scored / match1.09
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.15Goals conceded / match0.88
BugeseraRayon Sports
43%Average possession47%
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.85Shots on target / match2.85
BugeseraRayon Sports

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match7.59
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.85Shots on target2.85
BugeseraRayon Sports
19.3%Shot conversion14.3%
BugeseraRayon Sports
43%Possession47%
BugeseraRayon Sports
0.91xG for1.35
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.28xG against1.01
BugeseraRayon Sports

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingRayon Sports: Counter-attacking
BugeseraRayon Sports
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rayon Sports is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.6 pts / match - Rayon Sports

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Rayon Sports
LWDWD
Season result split
38% W44% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-15-6
1.59 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-7-4
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rayon Sports is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.09 goals / match - Rayon Sports

Rayon Sports is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.88 goals / match - Rayon Sports

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

Rayon Sports scoring profile: strong

Rayon Sports scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)37
BugeseraRayon Sports
39Goals conceded (season)30
BugeseraRayon Sports
2.15Average goals in match1.97
BugeseraRayon Sports
5Goals scored (last 5)6
BugeseraRayon Sports
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
BugeseraRayon Sports

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal74%
BugeseraRayon Sports
29%2 goals32%
BugeseraRayon Sports
6%3 goals3%
BugeseraRayon Sports
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraRayon Sports

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal62%
BugeseraRayon Sports
38%2 goals18%
BugeseraRayon Sports
12%3 goals6%
BugeseraRayon Sports
3%4 goals3%
BugeseraRayon Sports

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time15%
BugeseraRayon Sports
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraRayon Sports
18%Scored in both halves18%
BugeseraRayon Sports

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
BugeseraRayon Sports
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BugeseraRayon Sports
40%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraRayon Sports

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
BugeseraRayon Sports
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
BugeseraRayon Sports
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BugeseraRayon Sports

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
BugeseraRayon Sports
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
BugeseraRayon Sports
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
BugeseraRayon Sports

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rayon Sports is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.44 pts / match - Rayon Sports

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Rayon Sports - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.44
BugeseraRayon Sports
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.59
BugeseraRayon Sports
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
BugeseraRayon Sports
1Average goals (1st half)0.97
BugeseraRayon Sports
53%Clean sheet before half-time68%
BugeseraRayon Sports
71%No goal before half-time56%
BugeseraRayon Sports

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.44
BugeseraRayon Sports
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
BugeseraRayon Sports
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BugeseraRayon Sports
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1
BugeseraRayon Sports
65%Clean sheet after half-time62%
BugeseraRayon Sports
50%No goal after half-time53%
BugeseraRayon Sports

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rayon Sports - second-half results

35% W38% R26% P
49
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Rayon Sports - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Rayon Sports
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
6
16-30
12
3
31-45
7
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Rayon Sports

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaRayon Sports
Average goals in match 2.152.12 1.97
Both teams scored 41%46% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 26%
Clean sheets 38%34% 38%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 62%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 Rayon Sports. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Rayon Sports?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:1 Rayon Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Rayon Sports?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Rayon Sports 1.09. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bugesera's matches and 47% of Rayon Sports's.

What form are Bugesera and Rayon Sports in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rayon Sports 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Rayon Sports?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.