BUL vs SC Villa: match statistics
SC Villa demonstrates decisively better form and table position (2nd place) compared to BUL (9th place). The visitors possess an impressive away record with 50% victories and merely 33% defeats, whereas the hosts have won only 29% of matches at home. The form in the last five encounters also speaks in favor of SC Villa (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). The visitors are characterized by offensive efficiency (17% shot conversion) and solid defense (50% clean sheets away), while BUL has failed to score in 43% of home matches. The difference in goal balance (+3 for visitors vs -1 for hosts) and the advantage in expected goals confirm SC Villa's superiority. Taking all statistics into account, the visitors are the decided favorite for this meeting.
BUL vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
BUL played against SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
BUL has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. SC Villa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
BUL scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.08. SC Villa scores 1.42 and allows 0.58. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of BUL's games and 42% of SC Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 42%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BUL has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.26 per game. BUL takes 8.8 shots per game, while SC Villa takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
BUL leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.08 goals per game after halftime. SC Villa leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
BUL's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For SC Villa, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SC Villa demonstrates decisively better form and table position (2nd place) compared to BUL (9th place). The visitors possess an impressive away record with 50% victories and merely 33% defeats, whereas the hosts have won only 29% of matches at home. The form in the last five encounters also speaks in favor of SC Villa (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). The visitors are characterized by offensive efficiency (17% shot conversion) and solid defense (50% clean sheets away), while BUL has failed to score in 43% of home matches. The difference in goal balance (+3 for visitors vs -1 for hosts) and the advantage in expected goals confirm SC Villa's superiority. Taking all statistics into account, the visitors are the decided favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| BUL | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
SC Villa is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - BUL · 2 pts / game - SC Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - BUL · 1.42 goals / game - SC Villa
SC Villa is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.08 goals / game - BUL · 0.58 goals / game - SC Villa
BUL scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 games).
SC Villa scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 games), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BUL
Over / Under - SC Villa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - BUL · 1.42 pts / game - SC Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BUL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
BUL
SC Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BUL | Liga | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.92 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 25% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SC VillaGoalReagan Mpande
- BULGoalNicholas Mwere
FAQ
What was the result of BUL vs SC Villa?
The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 2:1 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs SC Villa?
BUL score 0.83 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.42. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 42% of BUL's matches and 42% of SC Villa's.
What form are BUL and SC Villa in?
Over the last 5 games BUL have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and SC Villa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs SC Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.