Burnley vs Brentford: match statistics
Brentford seems to be the favorite of this meeting, occupying 7th place in the table with solid form – 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Burnley finds itself in a dramatic situation in 19th position, earning just 3 points in the last 5 meetings and losing 4 of them. The hosts have weak scoring efficiency at home (0.92 goals/match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.46/match), while Brentford records a better average of goals scored away (1.23/match) and higher shot conversion (13% vs 9%). The xG statistics also speak in favor of the guests (1.18 xG For vs 1.16 for Burnley at home), and the advantage in ball possession (48% vs 43%) as well as a greater number of shots on target (3.85 vs 2.92) additionally strengthen Brentford's chances. The form of both teams and the difference in quality of play indicate a probable victory for the guests.
Burnley vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Burnley played against Brentford in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Recent form
Burnley has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Brentford has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Burnley scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.93. Brentford scores 1.48 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Burnley's games and 52% of Brentford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Brentford has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.08 per game. Burnley takes 9.1 shots per game, while Brentford takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Burnley leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Brentford leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Burnley's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Brentford, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brentford seems to be the favorite of this meeting, occupying 7th place in the table with solid form – 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Burnley finds itself in a dramatic situation in 19th position, earning just 3 points in the last 5 meetings and losing 4 of them. The hosts have weak scoring efficiency at home (0.92 goals/match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.46/match), while Brentford records a better average of goals scored away (1.23/match) and higher shot conversion (13% vs 9%). The xG statistics also speak in favor of the guests (1.18 xG For vs 1.16 for Burnley at home), and the advantage in ball possession (48% vs 43%) as well as a greater number of shots on target (3.85 vs 2.92) additionally strengthen Brentford's chances. The form of both teams and the difference in quality of play indicate a probable victory for the guests.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Brentford is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Burnley · 1.4 pts / game - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.07 goals / game - Burnley · 1.48 goals / game - Brentford
Brentford is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.93 goals / game - Burnley · 1.37 goals / game - Brentford
Burnley scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 meczów), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
Brentford scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 meczów), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burnley
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / game - Burnley · 1.44 pts / game - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Burnley
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Burnley's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Brentford. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Burnley vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Burnley 3:4 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Brentford?
Burnley score 1.07 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.48. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Burnley's matches and 52% of Brentford's.
What form are Burnley and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Brentford 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Brentford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.