Burnley vs Brentford: match statistics
Brentford seems to be the favorite of this meeting, occupying 7th place in the table with solid form – 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Burnley finds itself in a dramatic situation in 19th position, earning just 3 points in the last 5 meetings and losing 4 of them. The hosts have weak scoring efficiency at home (0.92 goals/match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.46/match), while Brentford records a better average of goals scored away (1.23/match) and higher shot conversion (13% vs 9%). The xG statistics also speak in favor of the guests (1.18 xG For vs 1.16 for Burnley at home), and the advantage in ball possession (48% vs 43%) as well as a greater number of shots on target (3.85 vs 2.92) additionally strengthen Brentford's chances. The form of both teams and the difference in quality of play indicate a probable victory for the guests.
Burnley vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burnley play Brentford in Premier League (England). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Brentford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burnley scores 1.00 and concedes 1.97 goals per match. Brentford scores 1.45 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burnley 58%, Brentford 53%. Over 2.5: Burnley 50%, Brentford 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Brentford has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.10. Burnley: 9.3 shots per match, Brentford: 10.7.
Match halves
Burnley: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58. Brentford: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). Brentford: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Brentford seems to be the favorite of this meeting, occupying 7th place in the table with solid form – 10 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Burnley finds itself in a dramatic situation in 19th position, earning just 3 points in the last 5 meetings and losing 4 of them. The hosts have weak scoring efficiency at home (0.92 goals/match) and a high average of conceded goals (1.46/match), while Brentford records a better average of goals scored away (1.23/match) and higher shot conversion (13% vs 9%). The xG statistics also speak in favor of the guests (1.18 xG For vs 1.16 for Burnley at home), and the advantage in ball possession (48% vs 43%) as well as a greater number of shots on target (3.85 vs 2.92) additionally strengthen Brentford's chances. The form of both teams and the difference in quality of play indicate a probable victory for the guests.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Burnley · 1 pts / match - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Burnley · 1.45 goals / match - Brentford
Brentford is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.97 goals / match - Burnley · 1.37 goals / match - Brentford
Burnley scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Brentford scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burnley
Over / Under — Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.66 pts / match - Burnley · 1.45 pts / match - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burnley
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.75 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burnley 0 - 0 - 1 Brentford. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burnley vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Burnley 3:4 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Brentford?
Burnley score 1.00 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.45. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Burnley's matches and 53% of Brentford's.
What form are Burnley and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Brentford 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Brentford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.