Burnley vs Derby County: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Burnley vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Burnley plays Derby County in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Turf Moor.
Recent form
Burnley has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Derby County has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Burnley scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 2.29. Derby County scores 0.86 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's games and 43% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burnley has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.40 per game. Burnley takes 14.3 shots per game, while Derby County takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Burnley leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Burnley's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Burnley | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Derby County is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Burnley · 0.6 pts / game - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burnley is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Burnley · 0.86 goals / game - Derby County
Derby County is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.29 goals / game - Burnley · 1.86 goals / game - Derby County
Burnley scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
Derby County scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burnley
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Burnley · 1 pts / game - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Burnley
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Burnley | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.43 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Burnley and Derby County play?
Burnley face Derby County on September 19, 2026 in Championship at Turf Moor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Derby County?
Burnley score 1.14 goals per game on average and Derby County 0.86. The Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's matches and 43% of Derby County's.
What form are Burnley and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Derby County 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Derby County?
The statistical background for Burnley vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


