England - ChampionshipTurf MoorData current as of September 19, 2026

Burnley vs Derby County: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Burnley vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Burnley plays Derby County in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Turf Moor.

Recent form

Burnley has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Derby County has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Burnley scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 2.29. Derby County scores 0.86 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's games and 43% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Burnley has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.40 per game. Burnley takes 14.3 shots per game, while Derby County takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Burnley leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Burnley's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.81)
(3.55)
(4.10)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals scored / game0.86
BurnleyDerby County
2.29Goals allowed / game1.86
BurnleyDerby County
49%Average possession49%
BurnleyDerby County
3.86Shots on target / game3.29
BurnleyDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.29Shots per game11.57
BurnleyDerby County
3.86Shots on target3.29
BurnleyDerby County
8%Shot conversion7.4%
BurnleyDerby County
49%Possession49%
BurnleyDerby County
1.47xG for1.4
BurnleyDerby County
1.53xG against1.8
BurnleyDerby County

Shooting quality

Burnley: AttackingDerby County: Balanced
BurnleyDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)27%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Derby County is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Burnley · 0.6 pts / game - Derby County

Burnley
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W43% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-4
0.43 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Derby County
LWLLL
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burnley is 33% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Burnley · 0.86 goals / game - Derby County

Derby County is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.29 goals / game - Burnley · 1.86 goals / game - Derby County

Burnley scoring profile: very strong

Burnley scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

8Goals scored (season)6
BurnleyDerby County
16Goals conceded (season)13
BurnleyDerby County
3.43Average goals per game2.71
BurnleyDerby County
5Goals scored (last 5)3
BurnleyDerby County
11Goals conceded (last 5)9
BurnleyDerby County

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal57%
BurnleyDerby County
14%2 goals29%
BurnleyDerby County
0%3 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County
0%4 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
BurnleyDerby County
71%2 goals71%
BurnleyDerby County
43%3 goals29%
BurnleyDerby County
14%4 goals0%
BurnleyDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BurnleyDerby County
0%Scored in both halves29%
BurnleyDerby County

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BurnleyDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
BurnleyDerby County
100%BTTS - last 520%
BurnleyDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
BurnleyDerby County
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BurnleyDerby County

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
BurnleyDerby County
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BurnleyDerby County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / game - Burnley · 1 pts / game - Derby County

Burnley - half-time state
14% leading29% draw57% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per game (1st half)1
BurnleyDerby County
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)1
BurnleyDerby County
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.57
BurnleyDerby County
29%Clean sheet before half-time29%
BurnleyDerby County
57%No goal before half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
BurnleyDerby County
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
BurnleyDerby County
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
BurnleyDerby County
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.14
BurnleyDerby County
14%Clean sheet after half-time43%
BurnleyDerby County
43%No goal after half-time71%
BurnleyDerby County

Burnley - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derby County - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Burnley - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Derby County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Burnley
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Burnley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
186%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

BurnleyLigaDerby County
Average goals per game 3.432.83 2.71
Both teams scored 100%65% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%62% 71%
Clean sheets 0%21% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%79% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%75% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per game
65%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Burnley and Derby County play?

Burnley face Derby County on September 19, 2026 in Championship at Turf Moor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Burnley vs Derby County?

Burnley score 1.14 goals per game on average and Derby County 0.86. The Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burnley's matches and 43% of Derby County's.

What form are Burnley and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Burnley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Derby County 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burnley vs Derby County?

The statistical background for Burnley vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.