Burnley vs West Ham United: match statistics

West Ham United are showing significantly better current form: they are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws. During this period, the visitors scored 10 goals, averaging 2.0 per match, and conceded only 3, while Burnley scored 5 and allowed 10 goals. Burnley have failed to win any of their last five matches, with 2 draws and 3 defeats, and their average points tally is just 0.4 compared with West Ham’s 1.8. Burnley’s position as the fifth-ranked home side supports the case for an even opening, but the visitors’ current attacking efficiency and clearly more solid defense favor a West Ham victory. A draw remains a realistic possibility given West Ham’s three points-sharing results in their last five appearances, but the form advantage points to a “2” result.

The signal for both sides to score is supported by their recent form: BTTS occurred in 80% of Burnley’s last five matches and in 60% of West Ham’s games. Burnley conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match during this period, while West Ham scored 2.0 on average, clearly strengthening the visitors’ chances of finding the net. Despite their weaker results, the hosts scored an average of 1.0 goal, with an average xG of 1.19; West Ham allowed opponents an xG of 1.28. The main risk to the pick is West Ham’s stronger defensive record, having conceded just 3 goals in five matches. However, the overall profile of the recent fixtures slightly favors a scenario in which both teams score. BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal is therefore marginally preferred over BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score—not automatically a 0:0 draw or a match in which neither team scores.

In their last five matches, Burnley scored 5 goals but conceded as many as 10, averaging 2.0 goals conceded per game. Over the same period, West Ham averaged 2.0 goals scored per match and conceded just 3, supporting the prediction that the visitors will score at least once. The two teams’ average xG figures are similar—1.19 for Burnley and 1.26 for West Ham—and both allow their opponents to create chances worth an average of 1.28 xG. Moreover, Burnley’s matches ended with both teams scoring in 80% of their last five appearances, making Over 1.5 goals a stronger pick than the more demanding lines.

West Ham have been clearly superior over their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, while Burnley have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.0 goals per game. The visitors remain unbeaten during this period, with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws, whereas Burnley have failed to win any match and have lost 3 of their last 5. West Ham’s advantage is particularly evident before half-time: they led at the break in 60% of their recent matches and averaged 1.2 goals in the first half, while Burnley were trailing at half-time in 80% of their games and scored just 0.2 goals before the interval. After the break, the visitors continue to demonstrate a solid defense, conceding an average of 0.2 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 80% of matches. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is West Ham leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory (1/1).