Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion play AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.11 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 48%, AFC Wimbledon 46%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 50%, AFC Wimbledon 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Burton Albion: 11.5 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 10.5.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast a Burton Albion win; in the last 5 matches the home side have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scored 4 goals and average 1.0 point per game, while AFC Wimbledon over the same period have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, 3 goals and only 0.2 points per game. Defensively Burton is superior: they concede 1.29 goals per home game on average (5 conceded in the last 5), whereas Wimbledon concede 1.9 goals away (12 conceded in the last 5), and clean sheets are 29% versus 10% for the visitors. In attack the hosts create more chances — 12.14 shots and 3.9 SOT per home match versus 9.86 shots and 2.95 SOT away for Wimbledon — which is also reflected in higher xG for Burton 1.46 versus 1.14 for the visitors. Both teams average 1.19 goals per match, but higher xG and more SOT for Burton indicate better quality of chances; at the same time Burton have a higher share of matches without scoring (FTS 43% vs 38%), which introduces some low-scoring risk. Considering superior chance creation and suppression (xG against 1.31 for Burton vs 1.47 for Wimbledon) and clearly worse form of the visitors (PPG 0.2 vs 1.0), I assess probabilities as: Burton 58%, draw 22%, Wimbledon 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 0.6 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.57 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 59% of matches (27 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burton Albion
Over / Under — AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 1 - 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:0 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion score 1.09 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.11. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Burton Albion's matches and 46% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.