Burton Albion vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Cardiff City, as the league leaders, are in significantly better form than Burton Albion, who sit in 20th place. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and remain unbeaten, while the hosts have won only 2 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Cardiff stand out with defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away) and offensive efficiency (50 goals this season), outperforming Burton in all key statistics. Burton have failed to score in as many as 62% of their home matches, which, given Cardiff's attacking strength, makes the visitors the favourites. The goal difference (+4 for Cardiff away vs -4 for Burton at home) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Form, league position, and statistics point to a likely victory for Cardiff City.
Burton Albion vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion play Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 31 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 48%, Cardiff City 54%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 50%, Cardiff City 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.36. Burton Albion: 11.5 shots per match, Cardiff City: 16.0.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Cardiff City, as the league leaders, are in significantly better form than Burton Albion, who sit in 20th place. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and remain unbeaten, while the hosts have won only 2 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Cardiff stand out with defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away) and offensive efficiency (50 goals this season), outperforming Burton in all key statistics. Burton have failed to score in as many as 62% of their home matches, which, given Cardiff's attacking strength, makes the visitors the favourites. The goal difference (+4 for Cardiff away vs -4 for Burton at home) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Form, league position, and statistics point to a likely victory for Cardiff City.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff City is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 2 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City
Cardiff City is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.09 goals / match - Cardiff City
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burton Albion
Over / Under — Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.46 pts / match - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 1 - 0 - 0 Cardiff City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 2:2 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
Burton Albion score 1.09 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.96. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Burton Albion's matches and 54% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Burton Albion and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Cardiff City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Cardiff City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.