Burton Albion vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Cardiff City, as the league leaders, are in significantly better form than Burton Albion, who sit in 20th place. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and remain unbeaten, while the hosts have won only 2 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Cardiff stand out with defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away) and offensive efficiency (50 goals this season), outperforming Burton in all key statistics. Burton have failed to score in as many as 62% of their home matches, which, given Cardiff's attacking strength, makes the visitors the favourites. The goal difference (+4 for Cardiff away vs -4 for Burton at home) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Form, league position, and statistics point to a likely victory for Cardiff City.
Burton Albion vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Burton Albion played against Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Burton Albion has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Cardiff City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Burton Albion scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.44. Cardiff City scores 1.79 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Burton Albion's games and 54% of Cardiff City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 54%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cardiff City has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.35 per game. Burton Albion takes 11.6 shots per game, while Cardiff City takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Burton Albion leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff City leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Burton Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Cardiff City, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City, as the league leaders, are in significantly better form than Burton Albion, who sit in 20th place. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and remain unbeaten, while the hosts have won only 2 of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Cardiff stand out with defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away) and offensive efficiency (50 goals this season), outperforming Burton in all key statistics. Burton have failed to score in as many as 62% of their home matches, which, given Cardiff's attacking strength, makes the visitors the favorites. The goal difference (+4 for Cardiff away vs -4 for Burton at home) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Form, league position, and statistics point to a likely victory for Cardiff City.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cardiff City is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Burton Albion · 2.2 pts / game - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Burton Albion · 1.79 goals / game - Cardiff City
Cardiff City is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Burton Albion · 0.96 goals / game - Cardiff City
Burton Albion scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 meczów).
Cardiff City scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Burton Albion · 1.46 pts / game - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Burton Albion
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.48 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Burton Albion's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Cardiff City. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 2:2 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
Burton Albion score 1.04 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.79. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Burton Albion's matches and 54% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Burton Albion and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cardiff City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Cardiff City?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Cardiff City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.