Burton Albion vs Reading: match statistics
The analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Burton Albion presents solid home form with a 39% win rate and an average of 1.17 goals per game, although half of their matches end without a goal scored. Reading shows better offensive efficiency in away games (1.5 goals on average) but simultaneously concedes a lot of goals (1.5 per game) and holds a mere 28% win rate on the road. The key factor is recent form: Reading's 1.6 points per game in their last five outings edges out Burton's 1.4 points. Taking into account Reading's high frequency of away draws (33%) and evenly balanced ball possession (50% for both teams), a draw appears to be the most likely result of this clash.
Burton Albion vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Burton Albion played against Reading in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Burton Albion has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Reading has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Burton Albion scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.38. Reading scores 1.49 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Burton Albion's games and 70% of Reading's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 49%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.28 per game. Burton Albion takes 11.4 shots per game, while Reading takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Burton Albion leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Reading leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Burton Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Reading, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Burton Albion presents solid home form with a 39% win rate and an average of 1.17 goals per game, although half of their matches end without a goal scored. Reading shows better offensive efficiency in away games (1.5 goals on average) but simultaneously concedes a lot of goals (1.5 per game) and holds a mere 28% win rate on the road. The key factor is recent form: Reading's 1.6 points per game in their last five outings edges out Burton's 1.4 points. Taking into account Reading's high frequency of away draws (33%) and evenly balanced ball possession (50% for both teams), a draw appears to be the most likely result of this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Reading is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Burton Albion · 1.6 pts / game - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Burton Albion · 1.49 goals / game - Reading
Reading is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Burton Albion · 1.32 goals / game - Reading
Burton Albion scores in 62% of games (23 of 37 meczów), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 37 meczów).
Reading scores in 89% of games (33 of 37 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Burton Albion · 1.51 pts / game - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Burton Albion
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.49 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Burton Albion's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Reading. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:2 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Reading?
Burton Albion score 1.11 goals per game on average and Reading 1.49. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Burton Albion's matches and 70% of Reading's.
What form are Burton Albion and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Reading 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Reading?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Reading — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.