Burton Albion vs Stevenage: match statistics
Burton Albion presents solid home form with 41% wins at home and a goal difference of -1, which is significantly better than Stevenage's results on the road. The hosts have a better xG indicator in home matches (1.48) than the visitors do away (1.09), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Stevenage concedes an average of 1.53 goals away and has only 29% wins in away matches, with 53% losses. Burton has earned 8 points in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), while Stevenage has 9 points (1.8 PPG); however, the visitors' away form is much weaker with a streak of five losses in their recent matches on foreign soil. The possession advantage for the hosts (50% vs 44%) and better home defensive efficiency (35% clean sheets) argue for a Burton Albion victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Burton Albion vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Burton Albion played against Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Burton Albion has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Stevenage has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Burton Albion scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.43. Stevenage scores 1.12 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Burton Albion's games and 52% of Stevenage's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 42%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.19 per game. Burton Albion takes 11.5 shots per game, while Stevenage takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Burton Albion leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Stevenage leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Burton Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Stevenage, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burton Albion presents solid home form with 41% wins at home and a goal difference of -1, which is significantly better than Stevenage's results on the road. The hosts have a better xG indicator in home matches (1.48) than the visitors do away (1.09), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Stevenage concedes an average of 1.53 goals away and has only 29% wins in away matches, with 53% losses. Burton has earned 8 points in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), while Stevenage has 9 points (1.8 PPG); however, the visitors' away form is much weaker with a streak of five losses in their recent matches on foreign soil. The possession advantage for the hosts (50% vs 44%) and better home defensive efficiency (35% clean sheets) argue for a Burton Albion victory, although a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stevenage is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Burton Albion · 1.8 pts / game - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stevenage is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Burton Albion · 1.06 goals / game - Stevenage
Burton Albion scores in 63% of games (22 of 35 meczów), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 meczów).
Stevenage scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Burton Albion
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.54 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Burton Albion's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Stevenage. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 0:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
Burton Albion score 1.11 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.12. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Burton Albion's matches and 52% of Stevenage's.
What form are Burton Albion and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stevenage 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Stevenage — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.