Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of October 16, 2026

Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: match statistics

Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Busko-Zdrój played against Siarka Tarnobrzeg in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The game was played on August 15, 2026. Final score: 1:4.

Recent form

Busko-Zdrój has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Siarka Tarnobrzeg has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 0.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Busko-Zdrój scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores 0.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Busko-Zdrój's games and 50% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.63 per game. Busko-Zdrój takes 6.0 shots per game, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg takes 5.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Busko-Zdrój leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Siarka Tarnobrzeg leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Busko-Zdrój's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Siarka Tarnobrzeg, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

3 Liga Group 4 games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Busko-Zdrój have been in clearly better form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg have managed just 1 point and lost 4 games. The hosts have scored 9 goals during this period, one more than their opponents, and their overall season record remains positive: 4 goals scored and 2 conceded without a defeat. Siarka have a particular defensive problem, having conceded 13 goals in their last five matches compared with 8 for Busko-Zdrój. Both teams drew their only previous match played at home and away respectively, so a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, the visitors’ current trend significantly reduces their chances. The hosts’ greater stability and Siarka’s weaker defensive efficiency point towards a Busko-Zdrój win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both sides to score is clear based on their current form: both Busko-Zdrój and Siarka Tarnobrzeg recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, compared with the league average of 56%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.6, while the visitors scored 1.6 goals but allowed their opponents as many as 2.6. Siarka has a particularly weak defense, as confirmed by 13 goals conceded in five matches and an average xG against them of 1.74. Despite averaging just 0.63 xG in recent matches, Busko-Zdrój scored 9 goals in five appearances, while Siarka scored 8, making the most likely scenario a goal for each team — BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Busko-Zdrój averaged 1.8 goals, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg averaged 1.6, providing a solid foundation for a total of more than two goals. The visitors’ defense was particularly vulnerable, conceding as many as 2.6 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.6 for the hosts. At least three goals were scored in 60% of the teams’ recent matches, while both teams found the net in 80% of cases. Caution is warranted by the quality of the hosts’ chances, with their average xG from the last five matches standing at just 0.63, which is why the Over 2.5 line does not offer the same clear advantage. Over 1.5 is the safest pick, as the combination of both attacks’ scoring efficiency and Siarka’s defensive weakness strongly supports a scenario with at least two goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Busko-Zdrój win, as Siarka were level at the break in 75% of their recent matches, while the hosts conceded just 0.5 goals per game before half-time during this period. After the break, the advantage should shift towards the home side: Busko-Zdrój averaged 1.0 goal in the second half, whereas Siarka scored just 0.25 and conceded as many as 1.75 goals. The last five matches clearly support the hosts, who averaged 1.8 goals and 1.6 points per game, with a 40% win rate, while the visitors failed to win any match, lost 80% of their games, and conceded 2.6 goals per fixture. The baseline data from a very small sample are less conclusive, but the advantage in current form and Siarka’s second-half weakness point towards a turnaround or the draw being decided in favor of the hosts.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 4
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Shots-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Shots on target-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0xG0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Corners-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0Dangerous attacks0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Fouls-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
-1Cards-1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals scored / game0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Goals allowed / game1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23%Average possession25%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Shots on target / game2.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6Shots per game5.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Shots on target2.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
33.3%Shot conversion9.1%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
23%Possession25%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.63xG for1.75
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.41xG against1.71
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Shooting quality

Busko-Zdrój: Counter-attackingSiarka Tarnobrzeg: Balanced
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Accuracy (shots on target)50%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.32
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.670.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Busko-Zdrój is 300% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Busko-Zdrój · 0.5 pts / game - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
DL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Busko-Zdrój is 300% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Busko-Zdrój · 0.5 goals / game - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój scoring profile: very strong

Busko-Zdrój scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Siarka Tarnobrzeg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scoring profile: very strong

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Busko-Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

4Goals scored (season)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals conceded (season)2
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
3Average goals per game1.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%2 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%3 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%4 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%2 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%3 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%4 goals0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Scored in both halves0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
100%BTTS - last 550%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Busko-Zdrój is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Busko-Zdrój · 1 pts / game - Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Average goals (1st half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%No goal before half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg
50%No goal after half-time100%
Busko-ZdrójSiarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdrój - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Busko-Zdrój - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game0.51.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.51.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.50
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.00.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Busko-Zdrój
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Busko-Zdrój

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
35%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 100% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Busko-ZdrójLigaSiarka Tarnobrzeg
Average goals per game• 3.002.95▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 100%62%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%48%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.43
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
48%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Busko-Zdrój 1:4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Busko-Zdrój score 2.00 goals per game on average and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0.50. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Busko-Zdrój's matches and 50% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's.

What form are Busko-Zdrój and Siarka Tarnobrzeg in?

Over the last 5 games Busko-Zdrój have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Busko-Zdrój vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.