Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Buxoro displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and conceding only 0.5 goals on average per match at home, granting them defensive stability. However, Dinamo Samarqand demonstrates impressive away efficiency with a 100% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match, supported by a high shot conversion rate (18%). A key factor is the similar goal difference of both teams (GD +1) and close xG values, suggesting an even quality of chances created. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent, and with Buxoro remaining unbeaten at home, this could lead to cautious play and a points split.
Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buxoro play Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 19 March 2026 at 14:15. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Buxoro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Dinamo Samarqand: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buxoro scores 1.31 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.58 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buxoro 54%, Dinamo Samarqand 100%. Over 2.5: Buxoro 38%, Dinamo Samarqand 92%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Samarqand has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.35. Buxoro: 11.4 shots per match, Dinamo Samarqand: 11.8.
Match halves
Buxoro: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.62. Dinamo Samarqand: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Buxoro: 31-45+ (4 goals). Dinamo Samarqand: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Buxoro displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and conceding only 0.5 goals on average per match at home, granting them defensive stability. However, Dinamo Samarqand demonstrates impressive away efficiency with a 100% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match, supported by a high shot conversion rate (18%). A key factor is the similar goal difference of both teams (GD +1) and close xG values, suggesting an even quality of chances created. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent, and with Buxoro remaining unbeaten at home, this could lead to cautious play and a points split.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buxoro | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Buxoro is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Buxoro · 1.4 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Buxoro · 1.58 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Buxoro is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Buxoro · 1.83 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Buxoro scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Buxoro
Over / Under — Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buxoro
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Buxoro | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.59 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 53% | ▲ 92% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Buxoro 0 - 1 - 1 Dinamo Samarqand. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Buxoro 3:1 Dinamo Samarqand. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Buxoro and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0, Dinamo Samarqand won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Buxoro score 1.31 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.58. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Buxoro's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Buxoro and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.