Buxoro vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Buxoro vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Buxoro played against Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on August 1, 2026. Venue: Buxoro Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Buxoro has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Lokomotiv has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Buxoro scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.07. Lokomotiv scores 1.50 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Buxoro's games and 64% of Lokomotiv's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lokomotiv has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.32 per game. Buxoro takes 10.9 shots per game, while Lokomotiv takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Buxoro leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiv leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Buxoro's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Lokomotiv, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) — Buxoro has a strong home profile: 71% home wins, positive home goal differential (+6) and just 0.57 goals conceded per home match. The visitors show better recent offensive numbers: Lokomotiv scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches and records away xG of 1.65 with 13.57 average shots per game. However, the home side converts more efficiently at home (13% conversion rate vs. the visitors’ 11%) and Buxoro keeps 43% clean sheets at home, while Lokomotiv has only 14% clean sheets on the road and concedes 1.57 goals per away game. A concern for Buxoro is recent form: only 3 goals in the last 5 fixtures and just 0.8 points per game, whereas Lokomotiv is averaging 1.8 points per game in the same period, which balances the visitors’ offensive potential. Considering the defensive edge for the hosts at their ground and Lokomotiv’s recent attacking efficiency, I assign probabilities: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season and league statistics strongly favor BTTS: Buxoro has a seasonal BTTS of 57%, Lokomotiv 71%, and the league average is 56%, indicating both teams frequently feature in Goal/Goal games. In the last 5 matches the signal is mixed — Lokomotiv shows BTTS 100% and scored 14 goals (avg 2.8 per match), while Buxoro scored only 3 goals in those 5 matches (0.6 per match), although seasonally Buxoro averages 1.57 goals per game. xG underlines the offensive potential of both teams: xG_for is 1.7 for Buxoro and 1.65 for Lokomotiv, while xG_against is 1.32 vs 1.42, meaning both sides generate and concede roughly 1.3–1.7 expected goals per match. Additionally, the visitors rarely keep a clean sheet (14% vs 29% for the home side), Lokomotiv concedes 1.57 goals seasonally (1.6 in the last 5), and shots on target 5.14 vs 4.43 with identical conversion 11% indicate scoring opportunities arise for both teams. Based on this I assign 70% probability to BTTS - Yes and 30% to No as the most consistent signal from the available data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates total expected goals at 3.05: home side 1.56 (home xG 1.70 and xG conceded to visitors 1.42) and away side 1.49 (away xG 1.65 and xG conceded to hosts 1.32). Seasonal metrics show Buxoro have 71% of matches over 1.5 and Lokomotiv 100%, providing a very strong signal for Over 1.5; additionally both teams have a high share of BTTS matches (57% for Buxoro and 71% for Lokomotiv). Over 2.5 is moderately likely: seasonal Over 2.5 rates are 43% for Buxoro and 57% for Lokomotiv, while in the last 5 matches Lokomotiv scored 14 goals (2.8 per game), which increases the probability of more than 2 goals. Both teams also average around 13–14 shots (Buxoro 13.86, Lokomotiv 13.57) and average 5.14 and 4.43 on-target shots respectively, confirming consistent chance creation. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at the 1.5 line).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely scenario is a draw: the home side had a draw at the break in 57% of matches, while the visitors scored 11 goals before half-time compared to 4 for the hosts, indicating frequent level or minimal leads in the first half. After the break the hosts have a clear edge — they average 1.29 goals in second halves versus 0.57 for the visitors, and the average second-half totals are 2.14 for the home team vs 1.43 for the away team. Additionally, hosts win second halves in 43% of cases compared to 28% for the visitors, and at home they record 43% wins and only 14% losses on the season, which increases the likelihood of a victory following an even HT. With similar xG (1.70 vs 1.65) and more on-target shots for the hosts (5.14 vs 4.43), the strongest scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Buxoro | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Buxoro is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Buxoro · 1.6 pts / game - Lokomotiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Buxoro · 1.5 goals / game - Lokomotiv
Buxoro is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Buxoro · 1.36 goals / game - Lokomotiv
Buxoro scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 games), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 games).
Lokomotiv scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 games), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Buxoro
Over / Under - Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Buxoro is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Buxoro · 1.36 pts / game - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Buxoro
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Buxoro | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.29 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Buxoro 2:1 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
Buxoro score 1.21 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.50. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Buxoro's matches and 64% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Buxoro and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
The statistical background for Buxoro vs Lokomotiv — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.