Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueBuxoro Sport MajmuasiData current as of October 21, 2026

Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Buxoro plays Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Buxoro Sport Majmuasi.

Recent form

Buxoro has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Termez Surkhon has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Buxoro scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.29. Termez Surkhon scores 0.79 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Buxoro's games and 42% of Termez Surkhon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 38%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Buxoro has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.28 per game. Buxoro takes 11.0 shots per game, while Termez Surkhon takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Buxoro leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Termez Surkhon leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.54 after halftime.

When the teams score

Buxoro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Termez Surkhon, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.58Goals scored / game0.79
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.29Goals allowed / game1.17
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
46%Average possession57%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
4.58Shots on target / game3.25
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.96Shots per game10.92
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
4.58Shots on target3.25
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
14.4%Shot conversion7.3%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
46%Possession57%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.37xG for1.28
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.5xG against1.43
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

Shooting quality

Buxoro: Counter-attackingTermez Surkhon: Balanced
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
Accuracy (shots on target)42%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Termez Surkhon is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Buxoro · 1.6 pts / game - Termez Surkhon

Buxoro
LLLWW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-8
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Termez Surkhon
WLWDD
Season result split
29% W29% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-10
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Buxoro is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

1.58 goals / game - Buxoro · 0.79 goals / game - Termez Surkhon

Termez Surkhon is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - Buxoro · 1.17 goals / game - Termez Surkhon

Buxoro scoring profile: very strong

Buxoro scores in 92% of games (22 of 24 games), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 games).

Termez Surkhon scoring profile: strong

Termez Surkhon scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 games), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 games).

38Goals scored (season)19
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
31Goals conceded (season)28
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
2.88Average goals per game1.96
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
10Goals scored (last 5)3
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
11Goals conceded (last 5)2
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal58%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
46%2 goals17%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
13%3 goals4%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
8%4 goals0%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal63%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
33%2 goals29%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
17%3 goals17%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
4%4 goals4%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time4%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
17%Scored in both halves0%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
100%BTTS - last 520%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Buxoro is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Buxoro · 0.96 pts / game - Termez Surkhon

Buxoro - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Termez Surkhon - half-time state
17% leading46% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)0.96
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.25
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.75
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
50%Clean sheet before half-time58%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
46%No goal before half-time83%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

After half-time (2nd half)

1.54Points per game (2nd half)1.29
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.21
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
63%Clean sheet after half-time58%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon
46%No goal after half-time58%
BuxoroTermez Surkhon

Buxoro - second-half results

38% W42% D21% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Termez Surkhon - second-half results

29% W42% D29% L
23
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Buxoro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.60
Goals scored / game0.41.6
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.62.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Termez Surkhon - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Buxoro
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
3
3
16-30
8
5
31-45
5
5
46-60
6
3
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Termez Surkhon
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Buxoro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Termez Surkhon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

BuxoroLigaTermez Surkhon
Average goals per game▲ 2.882.67▼ 1.96
Both teams scored▲ 67%55%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 54%54%▼ 38%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%68%▼ 54%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Buxoro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Termez Surkhon. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Termez Surkhon
3 : 1
Buxoro
Buxoro FK
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
Buxoro FK

FAQ

When do Buxoro and Termez Surkhon play?

Buxoro face Termez Surkhon on October 23, 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Buxoro Sport Majmuasi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Buxoro and Termez Surkhon?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0, Termez Surkhon won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon?

Buxoro score 1.58 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 0.79. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Buxoro's matches and 42% of Termez Surkhon's.

What form are Buxoro and Termez Surkhon in?

Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.