CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
CA La Paz displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +2 at their home ground, averaging 1.82 goals scored with an xG of 1.96. The hosts demonstrate high efficiency with 56% ball possession and only 9% of home matches without a goal scored. Atlético Zacatepec has poor away results – only 27% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and as many as 45% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the hosts' advantage in home statistics combined with the visitors' weakness in away games supports a CA La Paz victory. The difference in offensive quality (7.36 vs 3.55 shots on target) further reinforces this prediction, although Zacatepec's experience in drawing matches could make a clear win more difficult for the hosts.
CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz play Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
CA La Paz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 1.60 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.29 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 60%, Atlético Zacatepec 61%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 57%, Atlético Zacatepec 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.41. CA La Paz: 13.5 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 12.3.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.70. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (13 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
CA La Paz displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +2 at their home ground, averaging 1.82 goals scored with an xG of 1.96. The hosts demonstrate high efficiency with 56% ball possession and only 9% of home matches without a goal scored. Atlético Zacatepec has poor away results – only 27% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and as many as 45% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the hosts' advantage in home statistics combined with the visitors' weakness in away games supports a CA La Paz victory. The difference in offensive quality (7.36 vs 3.55 shots on target) further reinforces this prediction, although Zacatepec's experience in drawing matches could make a clear win more difficult for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Zacatepec is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - CA La Paz · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.29 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
CA La Paz is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.93 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
CA La Paz scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CA La Paz
Over / Under — Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.07 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CA La Paz 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 4:0 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
CA La Paz score 1.60 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are CA La Paz and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.