CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
CA La Paz displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +2 at their home ground, averaging 1.82 goals scored with an xG of 1.96. The hosts demonstrate high efficiency with 56% ball possession and only 9% of home matches without a goal scored. Atlético Zacatepec has poor away results – only 27% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and as many as 45% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the hosts' advantage in home statistics combined with the visitors' weakness in away games supports a CA La Paz victory. The difference in offensive quality (7.36 vs 3.55 shots on target) further reinforces this prediction, although Zacatepec's experience in drawing matches could make a clear win more difficult for the hosts.
CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CA La Paz played against Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
CA La Paz has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CA La Paz scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 1.57. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.35 and allows 1.91. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of CA La Paz's games and 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.31 per game. CA La Paz takes 13.9 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
CA La Paz leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
CA La Paz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz displays significantly better home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +2 at their home ground, averaging 1.82 goals scored with an xG of 1.96. The hosts demonstrate high efficiency with 56% ball possession and only 9% of home matches without a goal scored. Atlético Zacatepec has poor away results – only 27% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and as many as 45% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the hosts' advantage in home statistics combined with the visitors' weakness in away games supports a CA La Paz victory. The difference in offensive quality (7.36 vs 3.55 shots on target) further reinforces this prediction, although Zacatepec's experience in drawing matches could make a clear win more difficult for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.4 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.7 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.35 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
CA La Paz is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.91 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
CA La Paz scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.17 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CA La Paz
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.26 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from CA La Paz's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 4:0 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
CA La Paz score 1.70 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.35. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CA La Paz's matches and 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are CA La Paz and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.