CA La Paz vs Durango: match statistics
CA La Paz vs Durango: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz played Durango in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CA La Paz: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Durango: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 2.00 and concedes 4.00 goals per match. Durango scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 100%, Durango 0%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 100%, Durango 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Durango has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.00. CA La Paz: 10.0 shots per match, Durango: 14.0.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.00. Durango: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (2 goals). Durango: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Durango is the favorite based on key metrics: the visitors average 1.6 points per match over the last 5 games versus 0.4 for the home side, and Durango have won 2 of their last 5 matches while CA La Paz have no wins (last 5: 0–2–3). Defensively the visitors have a clear advantage — on the road Durango concede 0.0 goals on average and have 100% clean sheets, whereas La Paz conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per match). In attack Durango create better chances: away xG is 1.67 versus xG against 1.33, with on average 14 shots and 3 on target per match and a shot conversion around 7%. The hosts scored 5 goals in their last 5 fixtures (1.0 per match), but the goals conceded (5–10) and low points return (0.4 pts per match) indicate defensive issues and poor quality of chances. The combination of these indicators — higher xG and shot volume for the visitors, Durango’s 53% possession, 100% away clean sheets and superior points return (1.6 vs 0.4) — leads me to predict a Durango win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches, home side CA La Paz has BTTS at 80% (4 of 5), scoring 5 and conceding 10 — averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match; Durango in their last 5 has BTTS 40% (2 of 5), scoring 4 and conceding 3 — averaging 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. Average xG over the last 5 shows CA La Paz with attacking xG 1.36 and xG against 1.74, while Durango has attacking xG 1.52 and xG against 1.07, so both teams create ~1.3–1.5 xG, with the hosts more defensively exposed. Durango also records on available data an average of 3.0 shots on target and 14.0 shots per match, which increases the likelihood they will score against a home defense conceding on average 2.0 goals. At the same time the league has BTTS at 43% and a high clean sheet rate of 86%, and seasonal statistics are partially incomplete (e.g. seasonal CS: home 0% vs away 100%), which reduces confidence in the forecast. Considering the strong local form signal from the hosts (80% BTTS and 10 goals conceded in 5 matches) and Durango’s ability to generate xG and shots, I assign an edge to the "YES" scenario (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Analysis of the last 5 matches yields an attacking xG of 1.36 for CA La Paz and 1.52 for Durango; combining this with opponent defenses (xG against Durango 1.07 and xG against CA La Paz 1.74) produces expected goals of approximately 1.22 for the home side and 1.63 for the away side, totaling 2.85 goals. Supporting this, in the last 5 matches CA La Paz scored 5 and conceded 10 (avg. 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per match), while Durango scored 4 and conceded 3 (avg. 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded), indicating greater susceptibility to conceding on the home side. Seasonal data are incomplete: Durango has season xG_for 1.67 and xG_against 1.33 and 100% clean sheets (likely from a small sample), whereas CA La Paz has zero seasonal xG in the provided stats, so I give more weight to form over the last 5 matches. Considering the 2.85 expected goals, the league average of 3.14 goals per game and the high home-side concession rate (2.0 per match in the last 5), the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (pick: over 1.5); I estimate Over 1.5 at 92%, Over 2.5 at 66% and Over 3.5 at 29%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Durango were level at the break in 100% of their matches this season, so a draw at 45 minutes is a clear signal (drawing at HT = 100%). The visitors average 1.0 goal after the break and have scored in the second half in 100% of matches, which often translates into a victory after 90 minutes (AVG_2hg = 1.0, over05_2hg = 100%). This is supported by xG and offensive activity: the visitors’ xG is 1.67 versus 1.33 for their opponents, with an average of 14 shots and 3 on target per game, while CA La Paz has a season goal average of 0.0, a recent form of 'ddlll' over the last 5 matches and only 0.4 points per game. On this basis the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Durango win at full-time, hence the selection of X/2 as the primary bet.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1 goals / match - Durango
CA La Paz scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).
Durango scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CA La Paz
Over / Under — Durango
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1 pts / match - Durango
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 4.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Durango - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goli). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Durango
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Durango | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 6.00 | 3.20 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 50% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Durango?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 0:1 Durango. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Durango?
CA La Paz score 2.00 goals per game on average and Durango 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 100% of CA La Paz's matches and 0% of Durango's.
What form are CA La Paz and Durango in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Durango 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Durango?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Durango: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.