CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
CA La Paz is showing solid form in the last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, giving them 1.6 points per match. The hosts possess a significant advantage in possession (55% vs 46%) and shots on target (6.89 vs 3.36), translating to a greater offensive advantage confirmed by a higher average xG (1.91 vs 1.24). Leones Negros are showing very poor away form with only 27% away wins and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches, conceding 8 goals in the process. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -12, which, combined with 64% losses in away matches, makes them the clear underdog in this clash. Considering all statistics, CA La Paz has a real chance of securing a victory in front of their home crowd, though the hosts' weak defense (35 conceded goals) might open the door for a draw.
CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CA La Paz played against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 5, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
CA La Paz has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
CA La Paz scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 1.75. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.26 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's games and 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 39%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.55 per game. CA La Paz takes 13.8 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
CA La Paz leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
CA La Paz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz is showing solid form in the last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, giving them 1.6 points per match. The hosts possess a significant advantage in possession (55% vs 46%) and shots on target (6.89 vs 3.36), translating to a greater offensive advantage confirmed by a higher average xG (1.91 vs 1.24). Leones Negros are showing very poor away form with only 27% away wins and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches, conceding 8 goals in the process. The visitors' away goal difference stands at -12, which, combined with 64% losses in away matches, makes them the clear underdog in this clash. Considering all statistics, CA La Paz has a real chance of securing a victory in front of their home crowd, though the hosts' weak defense (35 conceded goals) might open the door for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - CA La Paz · 0.6 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.26 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.48 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
CA La Paz scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.13 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CA La Paz
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Oscar Eduardo Villa DomínguezOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Óscar Gil VázquezOff: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Sergio Hernandez
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Olaf González Manzano
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from CA La Paz's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 3:0 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
CA La Paz score 1.65 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.26. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are CA La Paz and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.