CA La Paz vs Tapatío: match statistics
CA La Paz enters this fixture as the favorite despite inconsistent form. The hosts hold the advantage in average goals scored at home (1.71 vs 0.86 for the visitors away) and a superior xG (1.81 vs 1.22). Key assets for La Paz include possession dominance (53% vs 47%) and significantly better shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Tapatío struggles heavily on the road, with only a 14% win rate and failing to score in 43% of away matches. While the hosts' defense is porous (averaging 2.29 goals conceded), potentially leading to an open game, the xG metrics and overall offensive superiority point towards a CA La Paz victory. A draw remains a viable option given the instability of both sides and their similar goal difference over the last five matches.
CA La Paz vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CA La Paz played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
CA La Paz has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tapatío has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
CA La Paz scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 2.14. Tapatío scores 1.43 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of CA La Paz's games and 57% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 57%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.46 per game. CA La Paz takes 14.0 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
CA La Paz leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
CA La Paz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz enters this fixture as the favorite despite inconsistent form. The hosts hold the advantage in average goals scored at home (1.71 vs 0.86 for the visitors away) and a superior xG (1.81 vs 1.22). Key assets for La Paz include possession dominance (53% vs 47%) and significantly better shot conversion (11% vs 8%). Tapatío struggles heavily on the road, with only a 14% win rate and failing to score in 43% of away matches. While the hosts' defense is porous (averaging 2.29 goals conceded), potentially leading to an open game, the xG metrics and overall offensive superiority point towards a CA La Paz victory. A draw remains a viable option given the instability of both sides and their similar goal difference over the last five matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - CA La Paz · 0.8 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.79 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.43 goals / game - Tapatío
Tapatío is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.14 goals / game - CA La Paz · 1.29 goals / game - Tapatío
CA La Paz scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
Tapatío scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CA La Paz
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.93 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CA La Paz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tapatío. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 2:2 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
CA La Paz score 1.79 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.43. The Ascenso MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 71% of CA La Paz's matches and 57% of Tapatío's.
What form are CA La Paz and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tapatío 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Tapatío?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Tapatío: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.