CA La Paz vs Venados: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly balanced and hard to predict. CA La Paz has a better home record with 25% wins and only 13% clean sheets, but their home form is unstable. Venados exhibits poor away form with 75% losses and 0% draws on the road, which is alarming. However, both teams have a similar average of goals scored in their matches (1.75 per game) and a high average of goals in matches (4.0 for the hosts, 4.38 for the visitors), suggesting an open encounter. Considering the unstable form of both teams (CA La Paz: 1.6 PPG, Venados: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches) and the fact that the hosts have 38% draws at home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points. A high-scoring draw is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
CA La Paz vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CA La Paz played against Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
CA La Paz has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Venados has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
CA La Paz scores 1.76 goals per game and allows 1.88. Venados scores 2.29 and allows 2.29. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of CA La Paz's games and 71% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.50 per game. CA La Paz takes 13.9 shots per game, while Venados takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
CA La Paz leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
CA La Paz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly balanced and hard to predict. CA La Paz has a better home record with 25% wins and only 13% clean sheets, but their home form is unstable. Venados exhibits poor away form with 75% losses and 0% draws on the road, which is alarming. However, both teams have a similar average of goals scored in their matches (1.75 per game) and a high average of goals in matches (4.0 for the hosts, 4.38 for the visitors), suggesting an open encounter. Considering the unstable form of both teams (CA La Paz: 1.6 PPG, Venados: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches) and the fact that the hosts have 38% draws at home, the most likely scenario is a share of the points. A high-scoring draw is expected with a slight advantage for the hosts due to the home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.4 pts / game - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.76 goals / game - CA La Paz · 2.29 goals / game - Venados
CA La Paz is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - CA La Paz · 2.29 goals / game - Venados
CA La Paz scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 meczów).
Venados scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.47 pts / game - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CA La Paz
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.65 | 2.93 | ▲ 4.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from CA La Paz's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Venados. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 1:0 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Venados?
CA La Paz score 1.76 goals per game on average and Venados 2.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of CA La Paz's matches and 71% of Venados's.
What form are CA La Paz and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Venados 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Venados?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.