Caen vs Bastia: match statistics
Caen vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Caen played against Bastia in National (France). The game was played on August 27, 2026. Venue: Stade Michel d'Ornano. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Caen has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bastia has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Caen scores 2.67 goals per game and allows 1.33. Bastia scores 1.00 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Caen's games and 33% of Bastia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caen has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 0.99 per game. Caen takes 14.7 shots per game, while Bastia takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Caen leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Bastia leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Caen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Bastia, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caen sit 4th, while Bastia are 12th, and the difference is reflected in their recent form: the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have won just 1 and suffered 3 defeats. Caen have scored 14 goals in their last five games, compared with Bastia’s 8, and average 2.5 goals per match at home. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 14 shots, including 6 on target, compared with just 6 attempts and 3 shots on target for Bastia away from home. The quality of chances clearly favors Caen, whose average xG stands at 1.66 compared with 0.99 for their opponents, while 68% possession should further help them control the match. Bastia did win their only away game without conceding, but their weaker overall trend and 12 goals conceded in their last five appearances point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, significantly above the league average of 33%. During this period, Caen averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Bastia scored 1.6 goals but allowed opponents 2.4 goals per match. The hosts should be able to exploit Bastia’s recent defensive weakness, despite the visitors having kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season. Bastia’s case for scoring is supported by their average of 1.6 goals across their last five appearances, as well as the fact that Caen conceded an average of 1.4 goals during that run. The edge for BTTS - Yes is moderate, as Bastia’s xG from their last five matches stands at just 0.67; however, the current scoring form of both teams supports a scenario in which each side finds the net. This means BTTS - No is not the preferred outcome: it only requires at least one team to fail to score and does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Caen’s last five matches produced an average of 4.2 goals, with the team scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.4, while Bastia averaged 4.0 goals after scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4. At the same time, the visitors’ chance creation remains limited: their xG across the last five matches stands at just 0.67, while Caen allowed opponents an xG of 1.54. Bastia have not yet had a match above 2.5 goals in the current campaign and have kept clean sheets in 100% of their games, although this sample should be balanced against their weaker recent defensive form. Caen have gone Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five matches, but the projected total of 2.55 goals points more often to a result in the 2–3 goal range than to four goals. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals has the edge, also supported by the low league percentage of matches finishing above 2.5 goals, at 33%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Caen are in clearly better current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 1.4, whereas Bastia have won only 1 of their last 5 games and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. Before half-time, the hosts score an average of 1.0 goal and concede 0.6, while Bastia score 0.75 goals but allow an average of 1.5. Bastia were trailing at the break in 75% of their recent matches, whereas Caen were leading at half-time in 40% and level in a further 40%, supporting the scenario of a home advantage in the first half. After the interval, Caen score an average of 1.8 goals and win the second half in 80% of matches, compared with Bastia’s 0% win rate, making it most likely that the hosts will maintain their lead until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Caen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Caen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Caen · 1 pts / game - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 167% better for: goals scored per game.
2.67 goals / game - Caen · 1 goals / game - Bastia
Caen is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Caen · 1.67 goals / game - Bastia
Caen scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Bastia scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caen
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / game - Caen · 1 pts / game - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Caen
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Caen | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.37 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 33% | 33% | • 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 33% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Caen vs Bastia?
The National match finished Caen 0:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Caen vs Bastia?
Caen score 2.67 goals per game on average and Bastia 1.00. The National average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Caen's matches and 33% of Bastia's.
What form are Caen and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Caen have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bastia 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caen vs Bastia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Caen vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.