Caen vs Châteauroux: match statistics
Caen presents solid home form with 73% clean sheets and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.8 points per game. Châteauroux stands out with a high percentage of draws on the road (60%), suggesting a defensive approach and difficulties in scoring (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.47 vs 1.04), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (45% FTS) constitutes a significant warning. Châteauroux possesses better shot conversion (14% vs 7%), which may balance the difference in the quality of chances created. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and Caen's unstable form, I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw remains a very likely scenario.
Caen vs Châteauroux: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Caen played against Châteauroux in National (France). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Caen has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Châteauroux has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Caen scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.14. Châteauroux scores 0.95 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Caen's games and 52% of Châteauroux's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 52%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caen has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.15 per game. Caen takes 11.1 shots per game, while Châteauroux takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Caen leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Châteauroux leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Caen's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Châteauroux, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caen presents solid home form with 73% clean sheets and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, yet their last five matches overall yielded just 0.8 points per game. Châteauroux stands out with a high percentage of draws on the road (60%), suggesting a defensive approach and difficulties in scoring (only 4 goals in the last 5 matches). The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.47 vs 1.04), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (45% FTS) constitutes a significant warning. Châteauroux possesses better shot conversion (14% vs 7%), which may balance the difference in the quality of chances created. Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and Caen's unstable form, I expect a close encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw remains a very likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Caen | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Caen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Caen · 0.4 pts / game - Châteauroux
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Caen · 0.95 goals / game - Châteauroux
Caen is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Caen · 1.29 goals / game - Châteauroux
Caen scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Châteauroux scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caen
Over / Under - Châteauroux
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Caen · 1.14 pts / game - Châteauroux
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Caen
Châteauroux
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Caen | Liga | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.27 | 2.36 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Caen's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Châteauroux. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Caen vs Châteauroux?
The National match finished Caen 1:2 Châteauroux. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Caen vs Châteauroux?
Caen score 1.14 goals per game on average and Châteauroux 0.95. The National average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Caen's matches and 52% of Châteauroux's.
What form are Caen and Châteauroux in?
Over the last 5 games Caen have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Châteauroux 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caen vs Châteauroux?
The statistical background for Caen vs Châteauroux — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.