France - NationalStade Michel d'OrnanoData current as of October 15, 2026

Caen vs La Roche VF: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Caen vs La Roche VF: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Caen plays La Roche VF in National (France). The game is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Venue: Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Recent form

Caen has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. La Roche VF has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Caen scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 1.33. La Roche VF scores 1.67 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Caen's games and 67% of La Roche VF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Caen has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.34 per game. Caen takes 11.9 shots per game, while La Roche VF takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Caen leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. La Roche VF leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.22 after halftime.

When the teams score

Caen's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For La Roche VF, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.09)
(3.40)
(3.05)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.89Goals scored / game1.67
CaenLa Roche VF
1.33Goals allowed / game0.89
CaenLa Roche VF
67%Average possession59%
CaenLa Roche VF
5Shots on target / game5.33
CaenLa Roche VF

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.89Shots per game11.33
CaenLa Roche VF
5Shots on target5.33
CaenLa Roche VF
15.9%Shot conversion14.7%
CaenLa Roche VF
67%Possession59%
CaenLa Roche VF
1.5xG for1.34
CaenLa Roche VF
1.18xG against1.17
CaenLa Roche VF

Shooting quality

Caen: Efficient finishingLa Roche VF: Efficient finishing
CaenLa Roche VF
Accuracy (shots on target)42%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

La Roche VF is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Caen · 2.2 pts / game - La Roche VF

Caen
WWLWL
Season result split
56% W0% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-4
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
La Roche VF
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caen is 13% better for: goals scored per game.

1.89 goals / game - Caen · 1.67 goals / game - La Roche VF

La Roche VF is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Caen · 0.89 goals / game - La Roche VF

Caen scoring profile: very strong

Caen scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while La Roche VF keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

La Roche VF scoring profile: very strong

La Roche VF scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

17Goals scored (season)15
CaenLa Roche VF
12Goals conceded (season)8
CaenLa Roche VF
3.22Average goals per game2.56
CaenLa Roche VF
9Goals scored (last 5)9
CaenLa Roche VF
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
CaenLa Roche VF

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
CaenLa Roche VF
67%2 goals44%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%3 goals33%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%4 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%2 goals22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%3 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%4 goals0%
CaenLa Roche VF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%BTTS in both halves22%
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Scored in both halves22%
CaenLa Roche VF

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
CaenLa Roche VF
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CaenLa Roche VF
40%BTTS - last 580%
CaenLa Roche VF

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CaenLa Roche VF

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CaenLa Roche VF
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CaenLa Roche VF
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
CaenLa Roche VF

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caen is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Caen · 1.22 pts / game - La Roche VF

Caen - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing
La Roche VF - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1.22
CaenLa Roche VF
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
1.56Average goals (1st half)0.89
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%No goal before half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per game (2nd half)2.22
CaenLa Roche VF
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)1.22
CaenLa Roche VF
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
CaenLa Roche VF
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.67
CaenLa Roche VF
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
CaenLa Roche VF
33%No goal after half-time33%
CaenLa Roche VF

Caen - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

La Roche VF - second-half results

67% W22% D11% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding305%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Caen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
La Roche VF - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.60
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Caen
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

La Roche VF
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
7
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Caen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

La Roche VF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

CaenLigaLa Roche VF
Average goals per game▲ 3.222.38▲ 2.56
Both teams scored▼ 33%44%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 44%40%▲ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 44%33%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%73%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%72%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Caen and La Roche VF play?

Caen face La Roche VF on October 15, 2026 in National at Stade Michel d'Ornano. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Caen vs La Roche VF?

Caen score 1.89 goals per game on average and La Roche VF 1.67. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Caen's matches and 67% of La Roche VF's.

What form are Caen and La Roche VF in?

Over the last 5 games Caen have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and La Roche VF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caen vs La Roche VF?

The statistical background for Caen vs La Roche VF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.