Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueThe OvalData current as of October 19, 2026

Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Caernarfon Town plays Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: The Oval.

Recent form

Caernarfon Town has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Briton Ferry has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Caernarfon Town scores 2.85 goals per game and allows 1.15. Briton Ferry scores 0.92 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Caernarfon Town's games and 62% of Briton Ferry's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 46%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.52 per game. Caernarfon Town takes 15.5 shots per game, while Briton Ferry takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 62% of its games and scores 1.62 goals per game after halftime. Briton Ferry leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.38 after halftime.

When the teams score

Caernarfon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Briton Ferry, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.29)
(5.20)
(8.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
2.85Goals scored / game0.92
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.15Goals allowed / game1.69
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
61%Average possession50%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6.85Shots on target / game3.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.46Shots per game12.31
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6.85Shots on target3.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
18.4%Shot conversion7.5%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
61%Possession50%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.82xG for1.52
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.19xG against1.61
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Caernarfon Town: DominantBriton Ferry: Balanced
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)44%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Caernarfon Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1 pts / game - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town
DWDLW
Season result split
62% W15% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-3
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.13Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Briton Ferry
LDDWL
Season result split
23% W23% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-7
0.92 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caernarfon Town is 210% better for: goals scored per game.

2.85 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 0.92 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.69 goals / game - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: very strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 games), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 games).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: very strong

Briton Ferry scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).

37Goals scored (season)12
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15Goals conceded (season)22
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
4Average goals per game2.62
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
14Goals scored (last 5)6
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal77%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
77%2 goals15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
38%3 goals0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%4 goals0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%2 goals46%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15%3 goals31%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0%4 goals8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
15%BTTS in both halves0%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
54%Scored in both halves15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
80%BTTS - last 580%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caernarfon Town is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.85 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 pts / game - Briton Ferry

Caernarfon Town - half-time state
62% leading0% draw38% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.85Points per game (1st half)1.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.23Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.92Average goals (1st half)1.23
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
46%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
23%No goal before half-time46%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.85Points per game (2nd half)0.85
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
1.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
2.08Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
62%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry
31%No goal after half-time62%
Caernarfon TownBriton Ferry

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

46% W46% D8% L
24
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 62% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

23% W15% D62% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Caernarfon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game1.01.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.62.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Briton Ferry - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
8
3
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
7
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Caernarfon TownLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.29▼ 2.62
Both teams scored▲ 62%52%▲ 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%61%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▲ 31%25%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%79%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%85%• 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Caernarfon Town's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Briton Ferry. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Caernarfon Town FC
4 : 1
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
2 : 5
Caernarfon Town FC

FAQ

When do Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry play?

Caernarfon Town face Briton Ferry on October 23, 2026 in Welsh Premier League at The Oval. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 2, Briton Ferry won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Caernarfon Town score 2.85 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 0.92. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 62% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.