Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Caernarfon Town played against Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on December 27, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Caernarfon Town has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Caernarfon Town scores 2.11 goals per game and allows 1.47. Colwyn Bay scores 1.37 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of Caernarfon Town's games and 47% of Colwyn Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 37%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.49 per game. Caernarfon Town takes 12.1 shots per game, while Colwyn Bay takes 11.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 1.47 goals per game after halftime. Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.42 after halftime.

When the teams score

Caernarfon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Colwyn Bay, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

60Possession (%)40
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
18Shots14
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
8Shots on target6
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
2.21xG1.72
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
12Corners8
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
71Dangerous attacks57
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
9Fouls10
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
2Cards2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
2.11Goals scored / game1.37
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.47Goals allowed / game1.11
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
52%Average possession48%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
5.16Shots on target / game4.47
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.11Shots per game11.84
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
5.16Shots on target4.47
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
17.4%Shot conversion11.6%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
52%Possession48%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.52xG for1.49
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.49xG against1.44
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Caernarfon Town: Efficient finishingColwyn Bay: Balanced
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)43%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Caernarfon Town
WDDLD
Season result split
42% W32% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-5
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Colwyn Bay
LWLWL
Season result split
37% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-6
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Caernarfon Town is 54% better for: goals scored per game.

2.11 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.37 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.47 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.11 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: very strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).

40Goals scored (season)26
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
28Goals conceded (season)21
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
3.58Average goals per game2.47
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
8Goals scored (last 5)10
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal68%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
58%2 goals32%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
26%3 goals21%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
21%4 goals11%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal68%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
47%2 goals21%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
11%3 goals11%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%4 goals11%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time32%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
5%BTTS in both halves11%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
37%Scored in both halves21%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
80%BTTS - last 580%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time42%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
74%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.47 pts / game - Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per game (1st half)1.47
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.95
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.58
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
42%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
58%No goal before half-time42%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.84Points per game (2nd half)1.05
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
2.16Average goals (2nd half)0.89
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
53%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
21%No goal after half-time68%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

53% W26% D21% L
22
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

11% W74% D16% L
28
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Caernarfon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.21.2
Average goals per game2.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
8
1
46-60
10
2
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
5
16-30
7
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.03
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Caernarfon TownLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals per game 3.583.12 2.47
Both teams scored 74%51% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%58% 37%
Clean sheets 11%28% 32%
Goal before half-time 74%78% 79%
Goal after half-time 95%74% 42%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.50
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Colwyn BayGoalNathan Peate
  2. Caernarfon TownYellow cardPhil Mooney
  3. Caernarfon TownYellow cardIwan Lewis
  4. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Danny GossetOff: Darren Thomas
  5. Colwyn BayGoalJamie Cumming
  6. Colwyn BayYellow cardNathan Peate
  7. Colwyn BayYellow cardLouis Gabriel Robles
  8. Caernarfon TownGoalSion Bradley
  9. Colwyn BaySubstitutionOn: Matthew HillOff: Aaron Williams
  10. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Morgan Rhys Wyn OwenOff: Phil Mooney
  11. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Osebi AbadakiOff: Iwan Lewis

Head-to-head

Record from Caernarfon Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Colwyn Bay. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Colwyn Bay FC
1 : 0
Caernarfon Town FC

FAQ

What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 1:2 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Caernarfon Town score 2.11 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.37. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 47% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.