Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay displays significantly better form, winning all of their last five matches and scoring an impressive 14 goals in that period. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and just 3 losses, while Caernarfon Town ranks in 4th position with clearly inferior statistics. In away matches, Connah's Quay achieves a 70% win rate and maintains 50% clean sheets, evidencing a solid defense. Caernarfon Town concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and has only a 40% win rate, which may prove insufficient against the league leaders. The advantage in possession (56% vs 55%) and better xG metrics for the visitors further support the scenario of a Connah's Quay victory.
Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Caernarfon Town played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Caernarfon Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Connah's Quay has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Caernarfon Town scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.43. Connah's Quay scores 2.19 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Caernarfon Town's games and 62% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 76%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.55 per game. Caernarfon Town takes 12.5 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.38 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Caernarfon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay displays significantly better form, winning all of their last five matches and scoring an impressive 14 goals in that period. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and just 3 losses, while Caernarfon Town ranks in 4th position with clearly inferior statistics. In away matches, Connah's Quay achieves a 70% win rate and maintains 50% clean sheets, evidencing a solid defense. Caernarfon Town concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and has only a 40% win rate, which may prove insufficient against the league leaders. The advantage in possession (56% vs 55%) and better xG metrics for the visitors further support the scenario of a Connah's Quay victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Caernarfon Town | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 3 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 2.19 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.1 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Caernarfon Town scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
Connah's Quay scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.67 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Caernarfon Town
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Caernarfon Town | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.43 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 75% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Caernarfon Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Connah's Quay. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 2:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?
Caernarfon Town score 2.00 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.19. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 62% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Connah's Quay 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.