Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: match statistics
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caernarfon Town play Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 18:15. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.21 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caernarfon Town 63%, Penybont 38%. Over 2.5: Caernarfon Town 59%, Penybont 41%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.40. Caernarfon Town: 12.4 shots per match, Penybont: 10.3.
Match halves
Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.16. Penybont: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back Caernarfon Town to win (1) due to a clear advantage in recent form and chance quality. The hosts have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches versus just 2 for Penybont, and over that period average 1.2 points per game compared to 0.2 for the visitors. Across the season Caernarfon have 54 goals to Penybont’s 39; at home they average 1.87 goals and xG 1.57, while Penybont away average 1.53 goals and xG 1.31, indicating superior quality of chances for the hosts. Additionally the hosts generate more and more accurate shots (12.8 shots and 5.6 on target per game vs 10.13 and 3.67 for the visitors) with the same conversion rate of 15%, and are less likely to be shut out (20% vs 33%). Defensively both teams are vulnerable — Caernarfon concede 1.87 goals at home and 10 goals in the last 5 (2.0 per game), Penybont concede 2.2 away and 7 in the last 5 (1.4 per game) — but the aggregate attacking advantages and superior recent form favour the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caernarfon Town | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.21 goals / match - Penybont
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Penybont scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Caernarfon Town
Over / Under — Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 1.03 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Caernarfon Town | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Caernarfon Town 1 - 1 - 1 Penybont. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 2:0 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Penybont?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 1, Penybont won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town score 1.75 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.21. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 38% of Penybont's.
What form are Caernarfon Town and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Penybont 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.