Italy - Serie AData current as of 19 July 2026

Cagliari vs Atalanta: match statistics

Cagliari crest
Cagliari
3 : 2half-time 2:2
Atalanta crest
Atalanta

Cagliari vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cagliari play Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Cagliari: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atalanta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cagliari scores 1.05 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.34 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cagliari 50%, Atalanta 53%. Over 2.5: Cagliari 50%, Atalanta 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Atalanta has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.16. Cagliari: 10.9 shots per match, Atalanta: 14.8.

Match halves

Cagliari: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.63. Atalanta: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Cagliari: 31-45+ (10 goals). Atalanta: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Atalanta holds a clear statistical edge: they have scored 45 goals this season versus Cagliari’s 33 and conceded only 29 compared to the hosts’ 47. In away matches Atalanta averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.94 conceded, while Cagliari at home average 1.06 scored and 1.13 conceded; the superiority in quality of chances is also reflected in xG: 1.40 for Atalanta vs 1.09 for Cagliari. In their last five fixtures the hosts have 1 win and 4 losses (0.6 pts per game), scoring 3 and conceding 9, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 pts per game) with a 6-3 goal record. Additionally the visitors control more possession and produce more shots (54% possession, 12.19 shots and 3.88 shots on target per game) versus 45% and 10/3.25 for the hosts, and are much less likely to finish goalless (13% vs 38%). Given better efficiency, lower goals conceded and higher xG, I predict an Atalanta victory.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

27Possession (%)73
CagliariAtalanta
9Shots12
CagliariAtalanta
4Shots on target6
CagliariAtalanta
1.03xG1.51
CagliariAtalanta
4Corners6
CagliariAtalanta
26Dangerous attacks46
CagliariAtalanta
8Fouls11
CagliariAtalanta
0Cards0
CagliariAtalanta

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.05Goals scored / match1.34
CagliariAtalanta
1.39Goals conceded / match0.95
CagliariAtalanta
46%Average possession55%
CagliariAtalanta
3.47Shots on target / match4.61
CagliariAtalanta

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.92Shots per match14.79
CagliariAtalanta
3.47Shots on target4.61
CagliariAtalanta
9.6%Shot conversion9.1%
CagliariAtalanta
46%Possession55%
CagliariAtalanta
1.16xG for1.64
CagliariAtalanta
1.49xG against1.33
CagliariAtalanta

Shooting quality

Cagliari: BalancedAtalanta: Dominant
CagliariAtalanta
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cagliari is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cagliari · 1 pts / match - Atalanta

Cagliari
WDLWW
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-8
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atalanta
LDWLD
Season result split
39% W37% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-14-9
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-8-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atalanta is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cagliari · 1.34 goals / match - Atalanta

Atalanta is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.39 goals / match - Cagliari · 0.95 goals / match - Atalanta

Cagliari scoring profile: strong

Cagliari scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

40Goals scored (season)51
CagliariAtalanta
53Goals conceded (season)36
CagliariAtalanta
2.45Average goals in match2.29
CagliariAtalanta
7Goals scored (last 5)6
CagliariAtalanta
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
CagliariAtalanta

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal79%
CagliariAtalanta
32%2 goals37%
CagliariAtalanta
8%3 goals13%
CagliariAtalanta
3%4 goals5%
CagliariAtalanta

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal66%
CagliariAtalanta
50%2 goals18%
CagliariAtalanta
11%3 goals11%
CagliariAtalanta
0%4 goals0%
CagliariAtalanta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time11%
CagliariAtalanta
3%BTTS in both halves0%
CagliariAtalanta
21%Scored in both halves24%
CagliariAtalanta

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
CagliariAtalanta
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CagliariAtalanta
60%BTTS - last 560%
CagliariAtalanta

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
CagliariAtalanta
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
CagliariAtalanta
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
CagliariAtalanta

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
CagliariAtalanta
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
CagliariAtalanta
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
CagliariAtalanta

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atalanta is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Cagliari · 1.47 pts / match - Atalanta

Cagliari - half-time state
16% leading53% draw32% trailing
Atalanta - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.47
CagliariAtalanta
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.63
CagliariAtalanta
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
CagliariAtalanta
1Average goals (1st half)1.11
CagliariAtalanta
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CagliariAtalanta
68%No goal before half-time53%
CagliariAtalanta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.53
CagliariAtalanta
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
CagliariAtalanta
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
CagliariAtalanta
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.18
CagliariAtalanta
42%Clean sheet after half-time58%
CagliariAtalanta
47%No goal after half-time45%
CagliariAtalanta

Cagliari - second-half results

32% W32% R37% P
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atalanta - second-half results

37% W42% R21% P
56
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding105%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cagliari - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Atalanta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
2
9
0-15
4
6
16-30
10
7
31-45
7
10
46-60
9
7
61-75
8
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
8
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

CagliariLigaAtalanta
Average goals in match 2.452.43 2.29
Both teams scored 50%45% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 37%
Clean sheets 21%32% 34%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 74%
Goal after half-time 84%77% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cagliari 0 - 0 - 1 Atalanta. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cagliari vs Atalanta?

The Serie A match finished Cagliari 3:2 Atalanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cagliari vs Atalanta?

Cagliari score 1.05 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.34. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cagliari's matches and 53% of Atalanta's.

What form are Cagliari and Atalanta in?

Over the last 5 games Cagliari have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atalanta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cagliari vs Atalanta?

The statistical background for Cagliari vs Atalanta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.