Cagliari vs Cremonese: match statistics
Cagliari vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cagliari played against Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Cagliari has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Cremonese has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cagliari scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.42. Cremonese scores 0.84 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Cagliari's games and 45% of Cremonese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 42%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cagliari has the higher season xG average, 1.08 to 1.05 per game. Cagliari takes 10.0 shots per game, while Cremonese takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Cagliari leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Cremonese leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cagliari's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Cremonese, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cagliari have the home edge: at home they average 1.07 goals and generate xG of 1.04, while Cremonese score 0.81 goals away with xG 0.95. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Cagliari concede 1.20 goals per home match (xG against 1.42), whereas Cremonese concede 1.44 goals away and register 1.95 xG against. In the last 5 matches both teams are in crisis: Cagliari have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats averaging 0.2 points per game, and Cremonese 1 win and 4 defeats averaging 0.6 points per game. Cagliari also register more shots on target at home (3.13 vs 2.81) and are less likely to finish goalless (40% vs 50%), which increases their scoring probability. Considering the better home goal difference (-2 versus -10 for Cremonese away), higher xG and superiority in shots on target, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Cagliari has a season BTTS rate of 53% versus Cremonese’s 38%, but in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 80% (Cagliari) and 60% (Cremonese), signaling a rising likelihood of both teams scoring. Both sides concede significantly — averaging 1.53 (Cagliari) and 1.44 (Cremonese) goals per game this season, and even more in the last 5 matches: 1.8 and 2.0, which increases the risk of conceding. xG shows the home side creates 1.15 xG per match versus 0.95 for the visitors, while opponents generate 1.65 and 1.95 xG against them, meaning both defenses regularly allow scoring opportunities. Low clean sheet rates (27% vs 25%), shots on target 3.6 vs 2.81 and a league average goals of 2.44 further support a Goal/Goal scenario. Based on this, I tip BTTS - Yes as more likely (70% vs 30%), because the last 5 matches and high xG against (1.65/1.95) outweigh the lower season averages of goals scored (0.87 and 0.81).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I assess the chance of Over 1.5 at 73%: season-long stats show Cagliari have 80% of home matches with over 1.5 goals and Cremonese 63%, giving an average close to 73%. This is supported by xG values — Cagliari xG_for 1.15 and Cremonese xG_for 0.95, and high xG_against: Cagliari xG_against 1.65 and Cremonese 1.95 — signaling substantial goal potential for both teams. After adjusting these xG figures for low finishing rates (shot conversion 8% for the home side and 10% for the visitors) and the seasonal averages of goals scored (0.87 and 0.81), I expect ~1.25 goals for Cagliari and ~0.95 for Cremonese, totaling 2.20. Seasonal percentages for Over 2.5 are 40% and 44% (hence Over 2.5 at ~44%), while Over 3.5 is unlikely (27% and 19% → ~23%). The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, so I recommend staking Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/2 (draw at Half-Time, Cremonese to win Full-Time). Both teams show low first-half efficiency: Cagliari averages 0.33 goals at the break, Cremonese 0.25, and draws at half occur in 40% and 44% of their matches respectively (≈42% combined), which strongly favors an HT draw. After the break the advantage shifts to the visitors: Cremonese average 1.56 points in second halves and win 44% of second halves, whereas Cagliari average 0.87 points and only 13% second-half wins, so the visitors are more likely to mount a turnaround. Season-long indicators also show Cremonese’s edge in results (away wins 25% vs home wins 13%), and xG of 1.15 vs 0.95 confirms the first half should be balanced and low-scoring, supporting the HT draw/FT win for the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cagliari | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cremonese is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Cagliari · 0.6 pts / game - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cagliari is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Cagliari · 0.84 goals / game - Cremonese
Cagliari scores in 65% of games (20 of 31 meczów), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Cremonese scores in 55% of games (17 of 31 meczów), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cagliari
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cagliari
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cagliari | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.45 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 31% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cagliari's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Cremonese. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cagliari vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Cagliari 1:0 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cagliari vs Cremonese?
Cagliari score 1.03 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.84. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Cagliari's matches and 45% of Cremonese's.
What form are Cagliari and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Cagliari have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Cremonese 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cagliari vs Cremonese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cagliari vs Cremonese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.