Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: match statistics
Carrarese presents significantly better form in the last five matches, securing 3 victories and noting 2 points per match, while Calcio Padova has just 0.8 points per match and only one victory. The hosts have a poor home disposition with a mere 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-2), while the visitors, despite difficulties on the road (18% wins), show better shooting effectiveness (13% shot conversion vs 10% for the hosts). Carrarese has conceded only 3 goals in the last five matches, evidencing improved defense, whereas Padova conceded as many as 10 goals in the same period. Taking into account the current form of both teams and xG statistics, which are similar, psychological advantage and momentum are on the visitors' side. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for Carrarese, who may exploit the hosts' weaker disposition.
Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Calcio Padova played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 10, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Calcio Padova has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Carrarese has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Calcio Padova scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.30. Carrarese scores 1.35 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Calcio Padova's games and 52% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrarese has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.24 per game. Calcio Padova takes 11.1 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Calcio Padova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.49 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrarese presents significantly better form in the last five matches, securing 3 victories and noting 2 points per match, while Calcio Padova has just 0.8 points per match and only one victory. The hosts have a poor home disposition with a mere 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-2), while the visitors, despite difficulties on the road (18% wins), show better shooting effectiveness (13% shot conversion vs 10% for the hosts). Carrarese has conceded only 3 goals in the last five matches, evidencing improved defense, whereas Padova conceded as many as 10 goals in the same period. Taking into account the current form of both teams and xG statistics, which are similar, psychological advantage and momentum are on the visitors' side. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for Carrarese, who may exploit the hosts' weaker disposition.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrarese is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 2 pts / game - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 1.35 goals / game - Carrarese
Calcio Padova is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 1.39 goals / game - Carrarese
Calcio Padova scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
Carrarese scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrarese is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 1.13 pts / game - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Calcio Padova
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.35 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Calcio Padova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 1:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?
Calcio Padova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.35. The Serie B average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Calcio Padova's matches and 52% of Carrarese's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrarese 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?
The statistical background for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.