Calcio Padova vs Modena: match statistics
Modena holds a distinct advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a significantly higher average xG (1.9 vs 1.18), evidencing superior quality in created scoring chances. On the road, Modena maintains a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheet rate, whereas Padova has failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor, but Modena's away goal difference (+4) significantly outperforms Padova's home record (-2). Padova has a mere 13% win rate at home alongside 63% draws, suggesting a defensive approach from the hosts. Considering all factors, Modena has a real chance of winning, although Padova's high percentage of home draws means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Calcio Padova vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Calcio Padova played against Modena in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Modena has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Calcio Padova scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.11. Modena scores 1.44 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's games and 50% of Modena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.18 per game. Calcio Padova takes 10.4 shots per game, while Modena takes 16.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Modena leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Calcio Padova's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Modena, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena holds a distinct advantage in key away statistics. The visitors achieve a significantly higher average xG (1.9 vs 1.18), evidencing superior quality in created scoring chances. On the road, Modena maintains a 38% win rate and an impressive 38% clean sheet rate, whereas Padova has failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor, but Modena's away goal difference (+4) significantly outperforms Padova's home record (-2). Padova has a mere 13% win rate at home alongside 63% draws, suggesting a defensive approach from the hosts. Considering all factors, Modena has a real chance of winning, although Padova's high percentage of home draws means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Modena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Calcio Padova is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 0.6 pts / game - Modena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 1.44 goals / game - Modena
Modena is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 0.83 goals / game - Modena
Calcio Padova scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
Modena scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Modena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 1.33 pts / game - Modena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Calcio Padova
Modena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Modena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.06 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Modena?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 2:0 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Modena?
Calcio Padova score 0.94 goals per game on average and Modena 1.44. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's matches and 50% of Modena's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Modena in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Modena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calcio Padova vs Modena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.