Calcio Padova vs Spezia: match statistics
The match promises to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Calcio Padova sits in 10th place and holds home advantage, yet their recent home results are unstable (46% draws at their own stadium). Spezia is in 17th position with a very poor away record (54% losses), but recently shows signs of improvement. xG statistics are close for both teams (1.27 vs 1.30), suggesting similar offensive potential. Given the hosts' high propensity for draws at home and Spezia's difficulties in scoring away (38% of matches without a goal), the most probable scenario is a share of the points. The form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG) gives a slight edge to the hosts, but not large enough to confidently point to their victory.
Calcio Padova vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Calcio Padova played against Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Spezia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Calcio Padova scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.22. Spezia scores 0.85 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's games and 48% of Spezia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Spezia has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.19 per game. Calcio Padova takes 10.7 shots per game, while Spezia takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Spezia leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Calcio Padova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Spezia, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Calcio Padova sits in 10th place and holds home advantage, yet their recent home results are unstable (46% draws at their own stadium). Spezia is in 17th position with a very poor away record (54% losses), but recently shows signs of improvement. xG statistics are close for both teams (1.27 vs 1.30), suggesting similar offensive potential. Given the hosts' high propensity for draws at home and Spezia's difficulties in scoring away (38% of matches without a goal), the most probable scenario is a share of the points. The form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG) gives a slight edge to the hosts, but not large enough to confidently point to their victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Calcio Padova is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 1 pts / game - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Calcio Padova is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 0.85 goals / game - Spezia
Calcio Padova is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 1.3 goals / game - Spezia
Calcio Padova scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
Spezia scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Calcio Padova
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.26 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Calcio Padova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Spezia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 2:2 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
Calcio Padova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.85. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Calcio Padova's matches and 48% of Spezia's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Spezia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.