Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of September 13, 2026

Calvary vs BUL: match statistics

Calvary crest
Calvary
0 : 1half-time 0:1
BUL crest
BUL
135%(0.00)
X40%(0.00)
225%(0.00)

The match shapes up to be a clash between two teams in very poor form, which points towards a draw. Calvary remains winless this season and has a dismal home record (0 home wins, 50% loss rate), though they have drawn twice in their last five matches. BUL is in even worse shape with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in their last five outings. Both teams possess identical statistics in their respective venues – averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match – suggesting a similar level of quality. Given that Calvary records 50% draws at home and BUL 50% draws away, combined with the catastrophic form of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. A slight advantage for the hosts stems solely from the home field factor, although their home record (0 wins) does not substantiate this edge.

Calvary vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Calvary played against BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 7, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Calvary has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. BUL has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Calvary scores 0.55 goals per game and allows 1.91. BUL scores 0.82 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Calvary's games and 45% of BUL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

BUL has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.17 per game. Calvary takes 4.1 shots per game, while BUL takes 9.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Calvary leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. BUL leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.09 after halftime.

When the teams score

Calvary's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For BUL, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match shapes up to be a clash between two teams in very poor form, which points towards a draw. Calvary remains winless this season and has a dismal home record (0 home wins, 50% loss rate), though they have drawn twice in their last five matches. BUL is in even worse shape with a streak of five consecutive defeats and zero points in their last five outings. Both teams possess identical statistics in their respective venues – averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match – suggesting a similar level of quality. Given that Calvary records 50% draws at home and BUL 50% draws away, combined with the catastrophic form of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome. A slight advantage for the hosts stems solely from the home field factor, although their home record (0 wins) does not substantiate this edge.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
CalvaryBUL
-1Shots-1
CalvaryBUL
-1Shots on target-1
CalvaryBUL
0xG0
CalvaryBUL
3Corners2
CalvaryBUL
53Dangerous attacks70
CalvaryBUL
-1Fouls-1
CalvaryBUL
-1Cards-1
CalvaryBUL

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.55Goals scored / game0.82
CalvaryBUL
1.91Goals allowed / game1.18
CalvaryBUL
23%Average possession44%
CalvaryBUL
1.18Shots on target / game3.27
CalvaryBUL

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

4.09Shots per game9.64
CalvaryBUL
1.18Shots on target3.27
CalvaryBUL
13.3%Shot conversion8.5%
CalvaryBUL
23%Possession44%
CalvaryBUL
1.17xG for1.45
CalvaryBUL
1.56xG against1.32
CalvaryBUL

Shooting quality

Calvary: Counter-attackingBUL: Balanced
CalvaryBUL
Accuracy (shots on target)29%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Calvary
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W27% D73% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-8
0.27 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
BUL
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
18% W36% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-5
0.91 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

BUL is 49% better for: goals scored per game.

0.55 goals / game - Calvary · 0.82 goals / game - BUL

BUL is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.91 goals / game - Calvary · 1.18 goals / game - BUL

Calvary scoring profile: mixed

Calvary scores in 36% of games (4 of 11 meczów), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).

BUL scoring profile: very strong

BUL scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)9
CalvaryBUL
21Goals conceded (season)13
CalvaryBUL
2.45Average goals per game2
CalvaryBUL
1Goals scored (last 5)3
CalvaryBUL
7Goals conceded (last 5)11
CalvaryBUL

How often they score at least...

36%1 goal64%
CalvaryBUL
18%2 goals9%
CalvaryBUL
0%3 goals9%
CalvaryBUL
0%4 goals0%
CalvaryBUL

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
CalvaryBUL
45%2 goals36%
CalvaryBUL
36%3 goals18%
CalvaryBUL
27%4 goals0%
CalvaryBUL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
CalvaryBUL
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CalvaryBUL
0%Scored in both halves0%
CalvaryBUL

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
CalvaryBUL
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
CalvaryBUL
20%BTTS - last 560%
CalvaryBUL

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
CalvaryBUL
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
CalvaryBUL
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
CalvaryBUL

2nd half

45%Min. 1 goal after half-time27%
CalvaryBUL
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
CalvaryBUL
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
CalvaryBUL

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BUL is 222% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.45 pts / game - Calvary · 1.45 pts / game - BUL

Calvary - half-time state
0% leading45% draw55% trailing
BUL - half-time state
27% leading64% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.45Points per game (1st half)1.45
CalvaryBUL
0.09Goals scored (1st half)0.73
CalvaryBUL
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
CalvaryBUL
1Average goals (1st half)1.09
CalvaryBUL
45%Clean sheet before half-time64%
CalvaryBUL
91%No goal before half-time45%
CalvaryBUL

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per game (2nd half)0.73
CalvaryBUL
0.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.09
CalvaryBUL
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
CalvaryBUL
0.91Average goals (2nd half)0.73
CalvaryBUL
55%Clean sheet after half-time73%
CalvaryBUL
82%No goal after half-time91%
CalvaryBUL

Calvary - second-half results

9% W64% D27% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.45
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

BUL - second-half results

0% W73% D27% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Calvary - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.60
Goals scored / game0.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
BUL - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

BUL
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
1
16-30
6
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
23%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.97
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
37%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
215%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

BUL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

CalvaryLigaBUL
Average goals per game 2.452.37 2.00
Both teams scored 36%47% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%42% 36%
Clean sheets 18%32% 36%
Goal before half-time 55%61% 64%
Goal after half-time 45%62% 27%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
0.89
Away goals / game
+66%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defensive advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Calvary vs BUL?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 0:1 BUL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs BUL?

Calvary score 0.55 goals per game on average and BUL 0.82. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Calvary's matches and 45% of BUL's.

What form are Calvary and BUL in?

Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BUL 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs BUL?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.