Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary play Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 21%, Lugazi Municipal 30%. Over 2.5: Calvary 17%, Lugazi Municipal 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Lugazi Municipal has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.18. Calvary: 3.6 shots per match, Lugazi Municipal: 8.2.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21. Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) — Calvary generates clearly better chances at home: home average xG is 1.91 with 4 shots on target per game, while Lugazi away posts xG 1.19 and only 1.67 shots on target. Visitors have serious efficiency issues on the road: they score on average 0.18 goals per away match, have no away wins (0% wins) and lose 73% of away fixtures. Calvary defends better at home — concedes 0.9 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 40% of home games, whereas Lugazi concedes 1.64 goals away and has 27% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Calvary scored 3 goals and averages 0.8 points per game, while Lugazi scored just 1 goal and averages 0.2 points per game, confirming the home advantage in the short term. Given the very high share of matches where one team fails to score (Calvary failed to score in 70% of home games, Lugazi failed to score in 82% of away games) I still expect a low-scoring match, hence the probability distribution 60/25/15.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.61 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calvary is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calvary · 1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugazi Municipal is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.48 goals / match - Calvary · 0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Calvary
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugazi Municipal is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Calvary · 1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.72 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 Lugazi Municipal. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 0:0 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal?
Calvary score 0.48 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 0.63. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Calvary's matches and 30% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are Calvary and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal?
The statistical background for Calvary vs Lugazi Municipal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.