Calvary vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Calvary played against Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on December 13, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Calvary has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Mbarara City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Calvary scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 2.11. Mbarara City scores 1.00 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Calvary's games and 78% of Mbarara City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mbarara City has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.04 per game. Calvary takes 3.4 shots per game, while Mbarara City takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Calvary leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Mbarara City leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Calvary's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Mbarara City, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
CalvaryMbarara City
-1Shots-1
CalvaryMbarara City
-1Shots on target-1
CalvaryMbarara City
0xG0
CalvaryMbarara City
-1Corners-1
CalvaryMbarara City
0Dangerous attacks0
CalvaryMbarara City
-1Fouls-1
CalvaryMbarara City
-1Cards-1
CalvaryMbarara City

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

CalvaryMbarara City
0.56Goals scored / game1
CalvaryMbarara City
2.11Goals allowed / game1.67
CalvaryMbarara City
23%Average possession42%
CalvaryMbarara City
0.67Shots on target / game3.22
CalvaryMbarara City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

3.44Shots per game9.33
CalvaryMbarara City
0.67Shots on target3.22
CalvaryMbarara City
16.1%Shot conversion10.7%
CalvaryMbarara City
23%Possession42%
CalvaryMbarara City
1.04xG for1.51
CalvaryMbarara City
1.65xG against1.9
CalvaryMbarara City

Shooting quality

Calvary: Counter-attackingMbarara City: Balanced
CalvaryMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)19%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.300.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.840.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mbarara City is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Calvary · 0.8 pts / game - Mbarara City

Calvary
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W22% D78% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-7
0.22 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Mbarara City
LLWLD
Season result split
11% W33% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-5
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
DLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mbarara City is 79% better for: goals scored per game.

0.56 goals / game - Calvary · 1 goals / game - Mbarara City

Mbarara City is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.11 goals / game - Calvary · 1.67 goals / game - Mbarara City

Calvary scoring profile: strong

Calvary scores in 33% of games (3 of 9 meczów), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).

Mbarara City scoring profile: very strong

Mbarara City scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)9
CalvaryMbarara City
19Goals conceded (season)15
CalvaryMbarara City
2.67Average goals per game2.67
CalvaryMbarara City
2Goals scored (last 5)5
CalvaryMbarara City
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
CalvaryMbarara City

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal78%
CalvaryMbarara City
22%2 goals22%
CalvaryMbarara City
0%3 goals0%
CalvaryMbarara City
0%4 goals0%
CalvaryMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal100%
CalvaryMbarara City
56%2 goals33%
CalvaryMbarara City
44%3 goals22%
CalvaryMbarara City
33%4 goals11%
CalvaryMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
CalvaryMbarara City
0%BTTS in both halves11%
CalvaryMbarara City
0%Scored in both halves11%
CalvaryMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
CalvaryMbarara City
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CalvaryMbarara City
20%BTTS - last 580%
CalvaryMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
CalvaryMbarara City
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
CalvaryMbarara City
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
CalvaryMbarara City

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
CalvaryMbarara City
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
CalvaryMbarara City
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CalvaryMbarara City

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mbarara City is 102% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.44 pts / game - Calvary · 0.89 pts / game - Mbarara City

Calvary - half-time state
0% leading44% draw56% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.44Points per game (1st half)0.89
CalvaryMbarara City
0.11Goals scored (1st half)0.56
CalvaryMbarara City
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
CalvaryMbarara City
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.33
CalvaryMbarara City
44%Clean sheet before half-time44%
CalvaryMbarara City
89%No goal before half-time56%
CalvaryMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per game (2nd half)0.67
CalvaryMbarara City
0.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
CalvaryMbarara City
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
CalvaryMbarara City
0.89Average goals (2nd half)1.11
CalvaryMbarara City
56%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CalvaryMbarara City
89%No goal after half-time67%
CalvaryMbarara City

Calvary - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.44
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mbarara City - second-half results

11% W33% D56% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Calvary - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.60
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Mbarara City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.20
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
222%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

CalvaryLigaMbarara City
Average goals per game 2.672.43 2.67
Both teams scored 33%49% 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%44% 44%
Clean sheets 22%31% 0%
Goal before half-time 56%62% 67%
Goal after half-time 44%61% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
0.95
Away goals / game
+56%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Calvary vs Mbarara City?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 1:1 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Mbarara City?

Calvary score 0.56 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Calvary's matches and 78% of Mbarara City's.

What form are Calvary and Mbarara City in?

Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Mbarara City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.