Cambodia Tiger vs Phnom Penh Crown: match statistics

Cambodia Tiger are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals in that run, while Phnom Penh Crown have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 goals. The hosts are averaging 2.6 points per game across their last five outings, compared with just 1.4 for the visitors. In their only home match so far, Cambodia Tiger drew but produced as many as 22 shots, including 6 on target, with an xG of 2.22. However, it should be noted that the hosts allowed their opponents an xG of 2.75, increasing the risk of conceding and supporting a relatively high probability of a draw. Despite this defensive uncertainty, their significantly greater attacking efficiency in recent matches gives the hosts the edge.

The signal for both teams finding the net is clear: Cambodia Tiger recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while the league averages 60% for this market. In their last 5 matches, the home side scored an average of 2.4 goals and the visitors 1.4, with both teams recording identical average xG of 1.79. Cambodia Tiger kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, while their average of 2.0 goals conceded and xG against of 2.12 increase the chances of Phnom Penh Crown scoring. The visitors are not flawless defensively either, conceding an average of 1.2 goals in their last five appearances, while the home side recorded as many as 24 shots per match this season. Recent BTTS form, standing at 60% for the home side and 40% for the visitors, does not provide complete certainty, but the attacking strength of both teams supports the "BTTS - Yes" scenario.

Cambodia Tiger have averaged 2.4 goals scored in their last five matches, while Phnom Penh Crown have averaged 1.4, providing a solid attacking foundation on both sides. The hosts conceded 1.0 goal per match during this period, compared with 1.2 for the visitors, leading the model to project an expected total of 3.10 goals. Both teams have averaged 1.79 xG over their last five games, and 60% of each team’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals. In addition, the league-wide average stands at as many as 4.0 goals per match, although the visitors’ seasonal data remains limited. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even under a conservative projection of the total number of goals, the probability of at least two goals remains clearly high.

Cambodia Tiger are in clearly better form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, winning 80% of their games, while Phnom Penh Crown have averaged 1.4 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, and just 40% wins. The hosts create plenty of chances, as evidenced by an average of 24 shots, 5 shots on target, and an xG of 2.48. Before the break, Tiger have recently averaged 1.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, while Crown’s record during this period stands at 0.8:0.8; the visitors were trailing at half-time in 40% of their last five matches. After the interval, the hosts continue to perform strongly, scoring an average of 1.0 goal, which is why a lead at the break followed by a win at full-time is the most logical scenario. The risk remains moderate, as strictly seasonal data are based on a very small sample, but the advantage in current form and the quality of chances created support the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.