England - EFL League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics

135%(2.30)
X35%(3.10)
230%(3.00)

The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.

Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cambridge United played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Cambridge United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Cambridge United scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 0.79. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.88 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Cambridge United's games and 58% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 55%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.37 per game. Cambridge United takes 11.3 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Cambridge United leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 61% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cambridge United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
7Shots9
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3Shots on target4
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.95xG1.22
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3Corners2
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
40Dangerous attacks49
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
12Fouls10
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1Cards2
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.45Goals scored / game1.88
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.79Goals allowed / game1
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
51%Average possession49%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3.61Shots on target / game4.55
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.33Shots per game12.15
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3.61Shots on target4.55
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
12.8%Shot conversion15.5%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
51%Possession49%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.37xG for1.38
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.03xG against1.21
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Cambridge United: BalancedMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Milton Keynes Dons is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Cambridge United · 2.2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United
LWWDW
Season result split
55% W27% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-9-6
1.91 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Milton Keynes Dons
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
52% W30% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-6
1.85 pts / game · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-5-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1.45 goals / game - Cambridge United · 1.88 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.79 goals / game - Cambridge United · 1 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United scoring profile: strong

Cambridge United scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 meczów), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 meczów).

48Goals scored (season)62
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
26Goals conceded (season)33
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
2.24Average goals per game2.88
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal88%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
48%2 goals61%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
15%3 goals21%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3%4 goals12%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal64%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
15%2 goals30%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3%3 goals6%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0%4 goals0%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
Cambridge United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 33 meczów
58%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 33 meczów
53%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time12%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
24%Scored in both halves36%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
60%BTTS - last 540%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / game - Cambridge United · 2.03 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing
Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
61% leading21% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per game (1st half)2.03
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.58Goals scored (1st half)1.09
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.52
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
70%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
48%No goal before half-time30%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per game (2nd half)1.52
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
64%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
48%No goal after half-time45%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
52
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

39% W33% D27% L
67
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+22
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at halftime in 61% of games and wins 52%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cambridge United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.0
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.20
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cambridge United
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
11
7
31-45
10
4
46-60
8
6
61-75
11
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
13
5
0-15
10
6
16-30
13
3
31-45
6
1
46-60
8
7
61-75
12
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cambridge United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Cambridge UnitedLigaMilton Keynes Dons
Average goals per game 2.242.57 2.88
Both teams scored 48%53% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%47% 55%
Clean sheets 39%26% 36%
Goal before half-time 67%69% 85%
Goal after half-time 70%76% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardJon Mellish
  2. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardJack Sanders
  3. Cambridge UnitedSubstitutionOn: Shayne LaveryOff: Sulaiman Borbor Kaikai
  4. Cambridge UnitedGoalShayne Lavery
  5. Cambridge UnitedYellow cardElliot Nevitt
  6. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Marvin Ekpiteta
  7. Milton Keynes DonsGoalAaron Graham John Collins

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Declan BourneMatches officiated: 9
4.56Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 211%Home wins33%Draws56%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Cambridge United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Milton Keynes Dons. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 1:1 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Cambridge United score 1.45 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.88. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cambridge United's matches and 58% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Cambridge United and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.