England - EFL League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics

135%(2.30)
X35%(3.10)
230%(3.00)

The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.

Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cambridge United play Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Cambridge United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cambridge United scores 1.43 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.87 and concedes 0.98. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cambridge United 46%, Milton Keynes Dons 61%. Over 2.5: Cambridge United 35%, Milton Keynes Dons 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.40. Cambridge United: 11.6 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.6.

Match halves

Cambridge United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.83. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Cambridge United: 31-45+ (16 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

The match promises to be extremely evenly contested between two top-table teams. Cambridge United displays impressive home form with 69% of matches won and only 13% of games without scoring at their own stadium. However, Milton Keynes Dons are in excellent disposition, earning 2.2 PPG in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The visitors boast better scoring efficiency in away matches (2 goals on average per match) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Given the similar xG values of both teams, the hosts' solid defense (0.69 goals conceded on average at home), and the fact that both teams are fighting for top positions, the most likely scenario is a tight, balanced duel ending in a share of the points.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
7Shots9
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3Shots on target4
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.95xG1.22
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3Corners2
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
40Dangerous attacks49
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
12Fouls10
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1Cards2
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.43Goals scored / match1.87
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.72Goals conceded / match0.98
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
51%Average possession49%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3.7Shots on target / match4.63
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match12.63
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
3.7Shots on target4.63
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
12.3%Shot conversion14.8%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
51%Possession49%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.4xG for1.42
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1xG against1.22
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Cambridge United: BalancedMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Milton Keynes Dons is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Cambridge United · 2.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United
WDLWD
Season result split
48% W35% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-16-8
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-6-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Milton Keynes Dons
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
52% W30% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-14-8
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +41
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-8-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.87 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Cambridge United · 0.98 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United scoring profile: strong

Cambridge United scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 33% (15 of 46 matches).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (20 of 46 matches).

66Goals scored (season)86
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
33Goals conceded (season)45
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
2.15Average goals in match2.85
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
8Goals scored (last 5)10
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal87%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
41%2 goals57%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
17%3 goals24%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
7%4 goals13%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal67%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
13%2 goals24%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
2%3 goals7%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0%4 goals0%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Cambridge United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 46 matches
61%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.28 of 46 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time15%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
2%BTTS in both halves2%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
24%Scored in both halves37%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
20%BTTS - last 580%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.61 pts / match - Cambridge United · 2.09 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United - half-time state
39% leading43% draw17% trailing
Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
61% leading26% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.61Points per match (1st half)2.09
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.61Goals scored (1st half)1.13
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.5
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
74%Clean sheet before half-time74%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
50%No goal before half-time28%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
63%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
50%No goal after half-time48%
Cambridge UnitedMilton Keynes Dons

Cambridge United - second-half results

43% W35% R22% P
74
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

35% W37% R28% P
96
Half-time points
52
Half-time goals
+35
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cambridge United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.00
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+7-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cambridge United
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
5
16-30
16
7
31-45
15
5
46-60
10
6
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
17
5
0-15
16
8
16-30
19
4
31-45
8
4
46-60
10
11
61-75
16
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cambridge United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-28.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-22.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Cambridge UnitedLigaMilton Keynes Dons
Average goals in match 2.152.57 2.85
Both teams scored 46%52% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%48% 54%
Clean sheets 43%27% 33%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 83%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cambridge United 0 - 1 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 1:1 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Cambridge United score 1.43 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.87. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cambridge United's matches and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Cambridge United and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.