Cambridge United vs Notts County: match statistics
Cambridge United vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cambridge United play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Cambridge United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cambridge United scores 1.43 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cambridge United 46%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Cambridge United 35%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cambridge United has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Cambridge United: 11.6 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.
Match halves
Cambridge United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.83. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Cambridge United: 31-45+ (16 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Cambridge United display a very strong home defense, conceding only 0.65 goals per match and recording clean sheets in 40% of home games while posting a 65% home win rate. Their quality of chances is higher at home — Cambridge’s average xG is 1.55 with 4.6 shots on target per game and 1.75 goals scored on average, whereas Notts County away have an xG of 1.23, 3.67 shots on target and 1.33 goals. At the same time Notts have been more efficient offensively recently: 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and 1.8 points per game in that period versus Cambridge’s 3 goals and 1.2 points, which increases their likelihood of scoring. However, Notts’ higher susceptibility to conceding away (1.1 goals conceded on average) and Cambridge’s low home loss rate (5%) argue for a narrow home victory. Therefore I propose the probability split: 55% Cambridge, 25% draw and 20% Notts, reflecting the hosts’ defensive edge and superior chance creation while accounting for the visitors’ good scoring form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cambridge United | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cambridge United · 2.2 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County
Cambridge United is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Cambridge United · 1.06 goals / match - Notts County
Cambridge United scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Cambridge United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (20 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cambridge United
Over / Under — Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cambridge United is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Cambridge United · 1.49 pts / match - Notts County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cambridge United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cambridge United
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cambridge United | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cambridge United 0 - 0 - 1 Notts County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cambridge United vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Cambridge United 4:0 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cambridge United vs Notts County?
Cambridge United score 1.43 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cambridge United's matches and 53% of Notts County's.
What form are Cambridge United and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Cambridge United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cambridge United vs Notts County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cambridge United vs Notts County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.