Cancún vs Atlante: match statistics
Cancún vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cancún play Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlante: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Atlante scores 1.84 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cancún 59%, Atlante 50%. Over 2.5: Cancún 50%, Atlante 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.39. Cancún: 11.3 shots per match, Atlante: 17.3.
Match halves
Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74. Atlante: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). Atlante: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Cancún holds a home-field advantage and superior home defense: the hosts concede 0.71 goals per home match on average and keep a clean sheet in 43% of games, while Atlante concedes 1.14 on the road and has 36% clean sheets. Offensively Atlante has a higher season tally (55 goals vs 47 for Cancún), but in the last 5 matches Cancún scored 10 goals with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws, and Atlante scored 9 goals with 3 wins and 1 loss, indicating a similar attacking potential. The quality range of chances is comparable — average xG is 1.69 for Cancún at home versus 1.66 for Atlante away, and average shots on target are 5.5 vs 5.14, which means the hosts have a slight edge in efficiency (conversion rate 15% vs 14%). Additionally, Cancún fails to score less often (14% of matches go goalless for them vs 21% for Atlante), increasing their likelihood of finding the net in this fixture. Considering the hosts’ strong defense, comparable offensive metrics and superiority in home results (home win rate 50% vs Atlante’s 36% away wins), I favor the home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cancún · 1.4 pts / match - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Cancún · 1.84 goals / match - Atlante
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Atlante scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cancún
Over / Under — Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Cancún · 1.38 pts / match - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cancún
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.85 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cancún 0 - 1 - 0 Atlante. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 2:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Atlante?
Cancún score 1.62 goals per game on average and Atlante 1.84. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Cancún's matches and 50% of Atlante's.
What form are Cancún and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlante 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Atlante?
The statistical background for Cancún vs Atlante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.