Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Cancún presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 67% wins and just 11% losses. The hosts have scored 30 goals this season while conceding only 13, giving a goal difference of +16 in home games. Atlético Zacatepec fares much worse in away matches, recording 43% losses and conceding an average of 1.57 goals per match while scoring just 1.29. Additionally, the hosts maintain clean sheets in 67% of home matches and surpass the visitors in terms of average xG (1.79 vs 1.38). Despite weaker form in the last five overall matches, Cancún's dominance at their own stadium and Zacatepec's weakness on the road unequivocally point to a home victory.
Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cancún played against Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Cancún has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Cancún scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.72. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.07 and allows 1.87. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Cancún's games and 60% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cancún has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.38 per game. Cancún takes 12.3 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Cancún leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cancún's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún presents a decisive advantage in home matches with an impressive record of 67% wins and just 11% losses. The hosts have scored 30 goals this season while conceding only 13, giving a goal difference of +16 in home games. Atlético Zacatepec fares much worse in away matches, recording 43% losses and conceding an average of 1.57 goals per match while scoring just 1.29. Additionally, the hosts maintain clean sheets in 67% of home matches and surpass the visitors in terms of average xG (1.79 vs 1.38). Despite weaker form in the last five overall matches, Cancún's dominance at their own stadium and Zacatepec's weakness on the road unequivocally point to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Zacatepec is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Cancún · 1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 56% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Cancún · 1.07 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Cancún is 160% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.72 goals / game - Cancún · 1.87 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Cancún scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cancún
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - Cancún · 1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cancún
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.39 | 2.93 | • 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Cancún's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:1 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Cancún score 1.67 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.07. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Cancún's matches and 60% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Cancún and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cancún vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.