Cancún vs CA La Paz: match statistics
Cancún showcases a significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home match, conceding just 0.58, which proves their solid defense (50% clean sheets). CA La Paz manages only a 27% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of 1.55 goals, with a mere +1 goal difference. Cancún's higher average xG in home matches (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.37 away) confirms their offensive superiority. The form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (3-0-2 vs 3-1-1), though the visitors have recently shown improvement. Taking all statistics into account, Cancún has a clear advantage; however, the solid form of CA La Paz in recent games and their tendency to draw away from home (45%) suggest that a sharing of points is also a realistic scenario.
Cancún vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cancún played against CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Cancún has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. CA La Paz has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Cancún scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 0.83. CA La Paz scores 1.73 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Cancún's games and 55% of CA La Paz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 64%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.42 per game. Cancún takes 11.7 shots per game, while CA La Paz takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Cancún leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. CA La Paz leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cancún's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For CA La Paz, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún showcases a significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home match, conceding just 0.58, which proves their solid defense (50% clean sheets). CA La Paz manages only a 27% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of 1.55 goals, with a mere +1 goal difference. Cancún's higher average xG in home matches (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.37 away) confirms their offensive superiority. The form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (3-0-2 vs 3-1-1), though the visitors have recently shown improvement. Taking all statistics into account, Cancún has a clear advantage; however, the solid form of CA La Paz in recent games and their tendency to draw away from home (45%) suggest that a sharing of points is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Cancún · 2 pts / game - CA La Paz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Cancún · 1.73 goals / game - CA La Paz
Cancún is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Cancún · 1.59 goals / game - CA La Paz
Cancún scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
CA La Paz scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cancún
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Cancún · 1.5 pts / game - CA La Paz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cancún
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.46 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cancún's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against CA La Paz. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs CA La Paz?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:1 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs CA La Paz?
Cancún score 1.63 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.73. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cancún's matches and 55% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Cancún and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs CA La Paz?
The statistical background for Cancún vs CA La Paz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.