Cannes vs Fleury 91: match statistics

Cannes have clearly shown better form in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, while Fleury 91 have lost 3 of their 5 games. The hosts scored 12 goals during this period, averaging 2.4 per match, compared with just 5 goals for Fleury 91, who scored an average of once per game. The defensive comparison also favors Cannes, who conceded 7 goals in five appearances, while the visitors allowed 9. Cannes averaged 2.2 points per match in their recent run, compared with 0.8 points for Fleury 91, further confirming their greater consistency. Both teams began the season with a draw, but the current attacking momentum and the visitors’ weaker defense point to a Cannes victory.

The BTTS pick is primarily based on Fleury 91’s clearly weaker attacking potential: in their last 5 matches, the team averaged 1.0 goals scored, while their xG stood at just 0.94. Cannes have very solid defensive metrics, allowing an average xG of 0.93, which limits the visitors’ chances of breaking through. Fleury 91 conceded an average of 1.8 goals during this period and allowed opponents to generate 1.62 xG, making the hosts the favorites to score, although this does not necessarily mean both sides will find the net. BTTS landed in only 20% of Fleury 91’s last 5 matches, compared with 60% for Cannes, while the league figure of 22% further supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Cannes scored 12 goals in their last five matches, so the most likely outcome is a home win with the visitors kept off the scoresheet.

Cannes are in clearly better attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.76. Fleury 91 conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period and allowed opponents an average xG of 1.62, which strengthens the case for at least two home goals or an open game. The visitors averaged 1.0 goal, while Cannes conceded 1.4, so a goal from Fleury 91 also remains a realistic scenario. At least 3 goals were scored in 60% of the last five matches played by each team, but the combined xG projection of 2.70 does not provide an equally strong edge on higher lines. The safest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the expected 2.73 goals clearly exceeds this line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Cannes win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Fleury 91 were level in 2 of 5. Cannes averaged just 0.6 goals before the break but as many as 1.8 after half-time, whereas Fleury 91 improved this figure only from 0.6 to 0.4 goals. Overall form also clearly favors the hosts: Cannes average 2.2 points per match and remain unbeaten in their last 5 fixtures, while Fleury 91 have collected 0.8 points and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. In the second halves, Cannes won 80% of their recent matches, with an average goal difference of +6, while the visitors failed to score after the break in 60% of those games. In addition, the hosts create an average of 0.81 xG and limit opponents to just 0.61 xG, supporting the scenario of taking control after a cautious start.