Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff City play Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff City 54%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 54%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.79. Cardiff City: 16.0 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.
Match halves
Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Cardiff is the favorite due to a significantly stronger home attack: on average 2.1 goals per home match versus Bolton’s 1.1 away, with mean xG 1.95 vs 1.62. The hosts average 16.7 shots and 6.1 on target per match (conversion 13%), while Bolton records 14.52 shots and 4.48 on target with an 8% conversion, translating into higher quality chances for Cardiff. Defensively they are relatively even (Cardiff concedes 1.1 goals at home vs Bolton’s 1.19 away, xG against 1.19 vs 1.2), but the hosts have more clean sheets (35% vs 19%) and a higher home win rate (70% vs Bolton’s 29% away). Both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, averaging 1.2 points per match), which slightly reduces Cardiff’s edge, and Bolton’s high share of away draws (43%) increases the likelihood of a point split. Considering the hosts’ advantage in shots, xG and average goals, I assign a higher probability to a Cardiff win, although a draw remains realistic.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff City | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cardiff City
Over / Under — Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.29 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff City | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.62 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cardiff City 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 2:0 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Cardiff City score 1.96 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Cardiff City's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Cardiff City and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.