Cardiff City vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cardiff City play Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Exeter City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cardiff City 54%, Exeter City 43%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 54%, Exeter City 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.22. Cardiff City: 16.0 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.5.

Match halves

Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24. Exeter City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). Exeter City: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Cardiff CityExeter City
13Shots10
Cardiff CityExeter City
4Shots on target1
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.61xG0.94
Cardiff CityExeter City
5Corners4
Cardiff CityExeter City
70Dangerous attacks33
Cardiff CityExeter City
7Fouls12
Cardiff CityExeter City
3Cards1
Cardiff CityExeter City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cardiff CityExeter City
1.96Goals scored / match1.13
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.09Goals conceded / match1.33
Cardiff CityExeter City
63%Average possession51%
Cardiff CityExeter City
5.43Shots on target / match3.39
Cardiff CityExeter City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.98Shots per match10.48
Cardiff CityExeter City
5.43Shots on target3.39
Cardiff CityExeter City
12.2%Shot conversion10.8%
Cardiff CityExeter City
63%Possession51%
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.81xG for1.22
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.28xG against1.48
Cardiff CityExeter City

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantExeter City: Balanced
Cardiff CityExeter City
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.2 pts / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City
DWWWL
Season result split
59% W22% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
27-10-9
1.98 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
17-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Exeter City
WDDDL
Season result split
26% W28% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-21
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-13
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 73% better for: goals scored per match.

1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.13 goals / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.33 goals / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

Exeter City scoring profile: strong

Exeter City scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).

90Goals scored (season)52
Cardiff CityExeter City
50Goals conceded (season)61
Cardiff CityExeter City
3.04Average goals in match2.46
Cardiff CityExeter City
14Goals scored (last 5)10
Cardiff CityExeter City
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Cardiff CityExeter City

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal65%
Cardiff CityExeter City
52%2 goals28%
Cardiff CityExeter City
35%3 goals17%
Cardiff CityExeter City
20%4 goals2%
Cardiff CityExeter City

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal72%
Cardiff CityExeter City
24%2 goals39%
Cardiff CityExeter City
13%3 goals13%
Cardiff CityExeter City
4%4 goals7%
Cardiff CityExeter City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time15%
Cardiff CityExeter City
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Cardiff CityExeter City
33%Scored in both halves22%
Cardiff CityExeter City

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Cardiff CityExeter City
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Cardiff CityExeter City
80%BTTS - last 580%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Cardiff CityExeter City
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Cardiff CityExeter City
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Cardiff CityExeter City

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Cardiff CityExeter City
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Cardiff CityExeter City
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Cardiff City · 0.98 pts / match - Exeter City

Cardiff City - half-time state
33% leading48% draw20% trailing
Exeter City - half-time state
22% leading33% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)0.98
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.09
Cardiff CityExeter City
63%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Cardiff CityExeter City
50%No goal before half-time65%
Cardiff CityExeter City

After half-time (2nd half)

2.02Points per match (2nd half)1.57
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.24Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Cardiff CityExeter City
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Cardiff CityExeter City
1.83Average goals (2nd half)1.37
Cardiff CityExeter City
59%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Cardiff CityExeter City
30%No goal after half-time48%
Cardiff CityExeter City

Cardiff City - second-half results

59% W26% R15% P
67
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
93
Second-half points
+30
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Exeter City - second-half results

39% W39% R22% P
45
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
72
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.403.00
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Exeter City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
8
10
16-30
17
8
31-45
21
9
46-60
14
9
61-75
22
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

Exeter City
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
6
16
16-30
6
9
31-45
12
3
46-60
10
10
61-75
13
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Exeter City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Cardiff CityLigaExeter City
Average goals in match 3.042.62 2.46
Both teams scored 54%52% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 46%
Clean sheets 37%27% 28%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 74%
Goal after half-time 83%81% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cardiff City 1 - 0 - 0 Exeter City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 1:0 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

Cardiff City score 1.96 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.13. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Cardiff City's matches and 43% of Exeter City's.

What form are Cardiff City and Exeter City in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Exeter City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Exeter City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Exeter City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.