Cardiff City vs Luton Town: match statistics
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate and only 13% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.07, resulting in a +19 goal difference. Luton Town shows significant problems in away matches – as many as 57% defeats, only 29% wins, and a negative goal difference of -5. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in 36% of away matches, which, given Cardiff's strong defense (40% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Cardiff averages 2.2 points per match, while Luton only 1.4. All key indicators, including possession advantage, shot accuracy, and xG, point to a clear advantage for Cardiff City in this encounter.
Cardiff City vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cardiff City played against Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Cardiff City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Luton Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Cardiff City scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 0.97. Luton Town scores 1.33 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Cardiff City's games and 40% of Luton Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 50%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cardiff City has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.48 per game. Cardiff City takes 14.4 shots per game, while Luton Town takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Cardiff City leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Luton Town leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cardiff City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Luton Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate and only 13% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.07, resulting in a +19 goal difference. Luton Town shows significant problems in away matches – as many as 57% defeats, only 29% wins, and a negative goal difference of -5. Additionally, the visitors have failed to score in 36% of away matches, which, given Cardiff's strong defense (40% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Cardiff averages 2.2 points per match, while Luton only 1.4. All key indicators, including possession advantage, shot accuracy, and xG, point to a clear advantage for Cardiff City in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff City | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cardiff City is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Cardiff City · 1.4 pts / game - Luton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Cardiff City · 1.33 goals / game - Luton Town
Cardiff City is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Cardiff City · 1.17 goals / game - Luton Town
Cardiff City scores in 90% of games (27 of 30 meczów), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
Luton Town scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff City
Over / Under - Luton Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Cardiff City · 1.23 pts / game - Luton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cardiff City
Luton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff City | Liga | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.58 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Cardiff City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Luton Town. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 3:1 Luton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
Cardiff City score 1.83 goals per game on average and Luton Town 1.33. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Cardiff City's matches and 40% of Luton Town's.
What form are Cardiff City and Luton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Luton Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Luton Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Luton Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.