Cardiff City vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Cardiff City vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff City play Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Northampton Town: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff City scores 1.96 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.85 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff City 54%, Northampton Town 48%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 54%, Northampton Town 48%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.11. Cardiff City: 16.0 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.2.
Match halves
Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24. Northampton Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cardiff City: 76-90+ (22 goals). Northampton Town: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Cardiff holds a clear offensive advantage: at home they average 2.05 goals per game with xG 1.93 and record 5.95 shots on target per match, while Northampton on the road average just 0.68 goals, xG 1.03 and 2.41 shots on target. The defensive differential also favors the hosts — Cardiff concedes 1.00 goal at home, Northampton concedes 1.73 away; in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 13 goals versus Cardiff’s 3. Form is sharply contrasting: Cardiff in the last 5 matches has 3 wins and 2 draws (PPG 2.2), whereas Northampton lost 5 of their last 5 (PPG 0). Additionally the hosts control on average 63% possession vs 42% for the visitors, have a 73% win rate in home matches and only 18% of games without scoring, while Northampton win 14% of away games and fail to score in 50% of them. Considering the xG gap (1.93 vs 1.03), the chance creation (16.73 vs 8.82) and the clear advantage in form and goal statistics, I predict a Cardiff win and assign probabilities: Cardiff 80%, draw 12%, away 8%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff City | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 131% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Cardiff City · 0.85 goals / match - Northampton Town
Cardiff City is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.61 goals / match - Northampton Town
Cardiff City scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 59% of matches (27 of 46 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cardiff City
Over / Under — Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Cardiff City · 0.78 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff City
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff City | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cardiff City 1 - 0 - 0 Northampton Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff City vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 5:1 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Northampton Town?
Cardiff City score 1.96 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.85. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Cardiff City's matches and 48% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Cardiff City and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Northampton Town 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for Cardiff City vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.